Newcastle Eagles vs Bristol Flyers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 176 Margin NEW by 2 Win NEW 58% Actual 162 · NEW won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Newcastle Eagles vs Bristol Flyers
Last 9 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Newcastle Eagles at home, last 4 games · Bristol Flyers away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Newcastle Eagles 1, Bristol Flyers 3.
- Average total 170.3 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting BRI by 19 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 SLB Bristol Flyers 94–75 Newcastle Eagles 169 pts
- Mar 8, 2026 SLB Bristol Flyers 76–98 Newcastle Eagles 174 pts
- Jan 16, 2026 SLB Newcastle Eagles 83–85 OT Bristol Flyers 168 pts · OT
- Oct 31, 2025 SLB Newcastle Eagles 83–87 Bristol Flyers 170 pts
Last five games
- Sep 20: London Lions 84, Newcastle Eagles 76. Lost. Odds: London Lions 1.04, Newcastle Eagles 8.60.
- May 3: London Lions 88, Newcastle Eagles 69. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 1: Newcastle Eagles 72, London Lions 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bristol Flyers 94, Newcastle Eagles 75. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 24: Newcastle Eagles 86, Leicester Riders 94. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
- Sep 20: Cheshire Phoenix 92, Bristol Flyers 101. Won. Odds: Cheshire Phoenix 1.34, Bristol Flyers 3.07.
- Sep 18: Bristol Flyers 78, London Lions 80. Lost. Odds: Bristol Flyers 5.80, London Lions 1.09.
- May 3: Bristol Flyers 85, Manchester Basketball 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 30: Manchester Basketball 98, Bristol Flyers 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 26: Bristol Flyers 94, Newcastle Eagles 75. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game losing streak for Newcastle Eagles coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Newcastle Eagles dropped from 1.96 to 1.67 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.3 — Newcastle Eagles +14.0 per 100 possessions, Bristol Flyers −3.3.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Bristol Flyers.
- 170.3 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 170.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEW moneyline | 1.96 | moved down 1.67 |
| BRI moneyline | 1.78 | moved up 2.12 |
| Total points | 170.5 | 170.5 |
| NEW spread · regulation | −1.5 | moved down −2.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SLB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 658 | 585 | +73 | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 683 | 593 | +90 | |
| 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 641 | 646 | −5 | |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 632 | 654 | −22 | |
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 402 | 433 | −31 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 500 | 486 | +14 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 677 | 679 | −2 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 554 | 575 | −21 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 486 | 520 | −34 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 577 | 639 | −62 |
- Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Newcastle Eagles host Bristol Flyers in the SLB on Friday, September 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.