New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx prediction
New York Liberty
26
23
19
19
Minnesota Lynx
21
16
19
15
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 62%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
New York Liberty8789Minnesota Lynx7186New York Liberty8789Minnesota Lynx7186Total 175 Margin NYL by 3 Win NYL 58% Actual 158 · NYL won
New York Liberty
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Minnesota Lynx
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New York Liberty vs Minnesota Lynx
New York Liberty
Minnesota Lynx
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
New York Liberty at home, last 24 games · Minnesota Lynx away, last 23
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New York Liberty 3, Minnesota Lynx 2.
- Average total 172.0 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 3 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NYL by 12 Sep 18, 2026
Meetings
- Sep 18, 2026 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 81–93 New York Liberty 174 pts
- Jul 11, 2026 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 90–85 New York Liberty 175 pts
- Jul 3, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 99–86 Minnesota Lynx 185 pts
- Aug 19, 2025 WNBA New York Liberty 85–75 Minnesota Lynx 160 pts
- Aug 16, 2025 WNBA Minnesota Lynx 86–80 New York Liberty 166 pts
Last five games
New York Liberty
3-2 - Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
- Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Sep 20: Toronto Tempo 69, New York Liberty 106. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.06, New York Liberty 1.11.
- Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Won. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
- Aug 29: New York Liberty 85, Chicago Sky 66. Won. No odds on record.
Minnesota Lynx
2-3 - Sep 24: Minnesota Lynx 86, Indiana Fever 66. Won. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 2.55, Indiana Fever 1.50.
- Sep 22: Indiana Fever 96, Minnesota Lynx 77. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.65, Minnesota Lynx 2.20.
- Sep 20: Connecticut Sun 89, Minnesota Lynx 101. Won. Odds: Connecticut Sun 7.98, Minnesota Lynx 1.06.
- Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
- Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 19-5 away for Minnesota Lynx this season.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for New York Liberty.
- 172.0 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
- 8th vs 1st in the WNBA standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NYL moneyline | 2.20 | moved up 2.35 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.67 | moved down 1.57 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| NYL spread | +2.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minnesota Lynx |
44 | 33 | 11 | .750 | 3997 | 3681 | +316 |
| 2 |  Golden State Valkyries |
44 | 32 | 12 | .727 | 3615 | 3306 | +309 |
| 3 |  Las Vegas Aces |
44 | 31 | 13 | .705 | 4025 | 3776 | +249 |
| 4 |  Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 5 |  Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 6 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 7 |  Dallas Wings |
44 | 27 | 17 | .614 | 3933 | 3751 | +182 |
| 8 | New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 9 |  Portland Fire |
44 | 17 | 27 | .386 | 3794 | 4005 | −211 |
| 10 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Sparks |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3830 | 4018 | −188 |
| 12 |  Phoenix Mercury |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3712 | 3854 | −142 |
| 13 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 14 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
| 15 |  Seattle Storm |
44 | 8 | 36 | .182 | 3616 | 3913 | −297 |
- Playoffs
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New York Liberty host Minnesota Lynx in the WNBA on Tuesday, September 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.