New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream prediction
New York Liberty
18
21
29
15
Atlanta Dream
25
19
22
19
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
New York Liberty8393Atlanta Dream8591New York Liberty8393Atlanta Dream8591Total 184 Margin NYL by 2 Win NYL 55% Actual 168 · ATL won
New York Liberty
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Atlanta Dream
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream
New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
New York Liberty at home, last 24 games · Atlanta Dream away, last 27
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New York Liberty 1, Atlanta Dream 4.
- Average total 178.8 points per meeting
- Over 170.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 3 Oct 7, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 7, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 101–98 OT New York Liberty 199 pts · OT
- Oct 4, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 92–82 New York Liberty 174 pts
- Sep 23, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 65–83 Atlanta Dream 148 pts
- Sep 21, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 84–95 Atlanta Dream 179 pts
- Jun 11, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 90–104 New York Liberty 194 pts
Last five games
New York Liberty
1-4 - Oct 7: Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.80, New York Liberty 2.05.
- Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.
- Sep 29: New York Liberty 87, Minnesota Lynx 71. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 2.35, Minnesota Lynx 1.57.
- Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
- Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
Atlanta Dream
5-0 - Oct 7: Atlanta Dream 101, New York Liberty 98. After overtime. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.80, New York Liberty 2.05.
- Oct 4: Atlanta Dream 92, New York Liberty 82. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.52, New York Liberty 2.46.
- Sep 30: Washington Mystics 75, Atlanta Dream 93. Won. Odds: Washington Mystics 2.30, Atlanta Dream 1.65.
- Sep 27: Atlanta Dream 92, Washington Mystics 77. Won. No odds on record.
- Sep 23: New York Liberty 65, Atlanta Dream 83. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 2.55, Atlanta Dream 1.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 9-game winning streak for Atlanta Dream coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on New York Liberty dropped from 1.65 to 1.52 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 170.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — New York Liberty +3.3 per 100 possessions, Atlanta Dream +9.8.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Atlanta Dream.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NYL moneyline | 1.65 | moved down 1.52 |
| ATL moneyline | 2.30 | moved up 2.55 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 170.5 |
| NYL spread | −3.5 | −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 2 |  Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 3 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 4 | New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 6 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 7 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New York Liberty host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday, October 9, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.