New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream prediction
New York Liberty
19
7
18
21
Atlanta Dream
18
23
17
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
New York Liberty6596Atlanta Dream8392New York Liberty6596Atlanta Dream8392Total 188 Margin NYL by 4 Win NYL 62% Actual 148 · ATL won
New York Liberty
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Atlanta Dream
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream
New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream
Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions
New York Liberty at home, last 24 games · Atlanta Dream away, last 27
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New York Liberty 1, Atlanta Dream 4.
- Average total 182.8 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ATL by 2 Oct 9, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 9, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 83–85 Atlanta Dream 168 pts
- Oct 7, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 101–98 OT New York Liberty 199 pts · OT
- Oct 4, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 92–82 New York Liberty 174 pts
- Sep 21, 2026 WNBA New York Liberty 84–95 Atlanta Dream 179 pts
- Jun 11, 2026 WNBA Atlanta Dream 90–104 New York Liberty 194 pts
Last five games
New York Liberty
3-2 - Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Lost. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Sep 20: Toronto Tempo 69, New York Liberty 106. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.06, New York Liberty 1.11.
- Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Won. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
- Aug 29: New York Liberty 85, Chicago Sky 66. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 27: New York Liberty 60, Golden State Valkyries 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Atlanta Dream
4-1 - Sep 21: New York Liberty 84, Atlanta Dream 95. Won. Odds: New York Liberty 1.97, Atlanta Dream 1.80.
- Sep 19: Atlanta Dream 106, Chicago Sky 81. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.10, Chicago Sky 6.27.
- Sep 17: Atlanta Dream 103, Connecticut Sun 59. Won. Odds: Atlanta Dream 1.08, Connecticut Sun 7.21.
- Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Won. No odds on record.
- Aug 28: Atlanta Dream 83, Portland Fire 101. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Atlanta Dream coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Atlanta Dream dropped from 1.76 to 1.50 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 176.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — New York Liberty +3.3 per 100 possessions, Atlanta Dream +9.8.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Atlanta Dream.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NYL moneyline | 1.95 | moved up 2.55 |
| ATL moneyline | 1.76 | moved down 1.50 |
| Total points | 176.5 | moved down 173.5 |
| NYL spread | +1.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
WNBA standings
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atlanta Dream |
44 | 30 | 14 | .682 | 4019 | 3717 | +302 |
| 2 |  Washington Mystics |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 3696 | 3640 | +56 |
| 3 |  Indiana Fever |
44 | 28 | 16 | .636 | 4222 | 3979 | +243 |
| 4 | New York Liberty |
44 | 26 | 18 | .591 | 3941 | 3802 | +139 |
| 5 |  Chicago Sky |
44 | 16 | 28 | .364 | 3818 | 3989 | −171 |
| 6 |  Connecticut Sun |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3470 | 3875 | −405 |
| 7 |  Toronto Tempo |
44 | 11 | 33 | .250 | 3770 | 4152 | −382 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New York Liberty host Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.