New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 234 Win SAC 51% Actual 252 · NOP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
New Orleans Pelicans at home, last 4 games · Sacramento Kings away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New Orleans Pelicans 2, Sacramento Kings 1.
- Average total 233.3 points per meeting
- Over 234.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAC by 4 Apr 3, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 3, 2026 NBA Sacramento Kings 117–113 New Orleans Pelicans 230 pts
- Mar 5, 2026 NBA Sacramento Kings 123–133 New Orleans Pelicans 256 pts
- Feb 9, 2026 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 120–94 Sacramento Kings 214 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: New Orleans Pelicans 91, Denver Nuggets 104. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.51, Denver Nuggets 1.55.
- Oct 24: Denver Nuggets 141, New Orleans Pelicans 135. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.19, New Orleans Pelicans 4.90.
- Oct 23: Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.88, New Orleans Pelicans 1.94.
- Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
- Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
- Oct 27: San Antonio Spurs 130, Sacramento Kings 103. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.05, Sacramento Kings 11.00.
- Oct 25: Sacramento Kings 112, Memphis Grizzlies 123. Lost. Odds: Sacramento Kings 2.45, Memphis Grizzlies 1.59.
- Oct 23: Sacramento Kings 120, Portland Trail Blazers 128. Lost. Odds: Sacramento Kings 4.50, Portland Trail Blazers 1.22.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Clippers 121, Sacramento Kings 96. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 1.51, Sacramento Kings 2.63.
- Oct 16: San Antonio Spurs 126, Sacramento Kings 97. Lost. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.11, Sacramento Kings 5.55.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for New Orleans Pelicans, who played yesterday.
- 10+ straight losses for Sacramento Kings coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for New Orleans Pelicans coming into this game.
- 0-5 away for Sacramento Kings this season.
- Over/under moved down from 237.5 to 234.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NOP moneyline | 1.48 | moved down 1.42 |
| SAC moneyline | 2.60 | moved up 2.95 |
| Total points | 237.5 | moved down 234.5 |
| NOP spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New Orleans Pelicans host Sacramento Kings in the NBA on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.