New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers prediction
New Orleans Pelicans
31
35
26
28
Indiana Pacers
38
18
30
37
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
New Orleans Pelicans120121Indiana Pacers123118New Orleans Pelicans120121Indiana Pacers123118Total 239 Margin NOP by 3 Win NOP 59% Actual 243 · IND won
New Orleans Pelicans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Indiana Pacers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New Orleans Pelicans vs Indiana Pacers
New Orleans Pelicans
Indiana Pacers
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
New Orleans Pelicans at home, last 4 games · Indiana Pacers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New Orleans Pelicans 1, Indiana Pacers 1.
- Average total 241.5 points per meeting
- Over 239.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting IND by 8 Jan 16, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 16, 2026 NBA Indiana Pacers 127–119 New Orleans Pelicans 246 pts
- Dec 20, 2025 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 128–109 Indiana Pacers 237 pts
Last five games
New Orleans Pelicans
3-2 - Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
- Oct 8: Miami Heat 128, New Orleans Pelicans 118. Lost. Odds: Miami Heat 1.30, New Orleans Pelicans 3.10.
- Oct 6: Oklahoma City Thunder 110, New Orleans Pelicans 116. Won. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.95, New Orleans Pelicans 1.85.
- Apr 12: Minnesota Timberwolves 132, New Orleans Pelicans 126. Lost. No odds on record.
Indiana Pacers
1-4 - Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
- Oct 13: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 112. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.40, Indiana Pacers 2.80.
- Oct 10: Indiana Pacers 117, Atlanta Hawks 119. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.77, Atlanta Hawks 1.93.
- Oct 7: Indiana Pacers 123, Minnesota Timberwolves 112. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 2.06, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.71.
- Apr 12: Indiana Pacers 121, Detroit Pistons 133. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Indiana Pacers coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 242.5 to 239.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.5 — New Orleans Pelicans +2.1 per 100 possessions, Indiana Pacers −4.4.
- Different pace — New Orleans Pelicans averaged 108.4 possessions per game, Indiana Pacers 102.1.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NOP moneyline | 2.27 | moved down 2.20 |
| IND moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.57 |
| Total points | 242.5 | moved down 239.5 |
| NOP spread | +3.5 | +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 |  Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 |  Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 | Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New Orleans Pelicans host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.