New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets prediction
New Orleans Pelicans
18
27
28
18
Denver Nuggets
37
20
22
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 75%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
New Orleans Pelicans91123Denver Nuggets104124New Orleans Pelicans91123Denver Nuggets104124Total 247 Margin DEN by 1 Win DEN 52% Actual 195 · DEN won
New Orleans Pelicans
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Denver Nuggets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets
New Orleans Pelicans
Denver Nuggets
Last 6 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: New Orleans Pelicans 0, Denver Nuggets 4.
- Average total 241.8 points per meeting
- Over 240.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting DEN by 6 Oct 24, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 24, 2026 NBA Denver Nuggets 141–135 OT New Orleans Pelicans 276 pts · OT
- Jan 13, 2026 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 116–122 Denver Nuggets 238 pts
- Nov 19, 2025 NBA New Orleans Pelicans 118–125 Denver Nuggets 243 pts
- Oct 29, 2025 NBA Denver Nuggets 122–88 New Orleans Pelicans 210 pts
Last five games
New Orleans Pelicans
2-3 - Oct 24: Denver Nuggets 141, New Orleans Pelicans 135. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.19, New Orleans Pelicans 4.90.
- Oct 23: Utah Jazz 120, New Orleans Pelicans 119. Lost. Odds: Utah Jazz 1.88, New Orleans Pelicans 1.94.
- Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Lost. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
- Oct 16: New Orleans Pelicans 107, Washington Wizards 106. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 1.82, Washington Wizards 1.88.
- Oct 14: Dallas Mavericks 97, New Orleans Pelicans 101. Won. Odds: Dallas Mavericks 2.32, New Orleans Pelicans 1.56.
Denver Nuggets
3-2 - Oct 26: Denver Nuggets 114, Golden State Warriors 134. Lost. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.36, Golden State Warriors 3.25.
- Oct 24: Denver Nuggets 141, New Orleans Pelicans 135. After overtime. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.19, New Orleans Pelicans 4.90.
- Oct 22: Oklahoma City Thunder 96, Denver Nuggets 84. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.30, Denver Nuggets 3.65.
- Oct 16: Los Angeles Lakers 106, Denver Nuggets 121. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.61, Denver Nuggets 2.17.
- Oct 14: Los Angeles Clippers 110, Denver Nuggets 122. Won. Odds: Los Angeles Clippers 2.62, Denver Nuggets 1.45.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for New Orleans Pelicans coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for New Orleans Pelicans, 1 for Denver Nuggets.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Denver Nuggets.
- −14.1 points away — Denver Nuggets averaged 121.3 at home and 107.2 away this season.
- 241.8 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 240.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NOP moneyline | 2.60 | moved down 2.51 |
| DEN moneyline | 1.45 | moved up 1.55 |
| Total points | 239.5 | moved up 240.5 |
| NOP spread | +5.5 | moved down +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 | New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 | Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
New Orleans Pelicans host Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.