Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas prediction
Nevezis
22
18
19
17
Zalgiris Kaunas
16
18
25
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Nevezis7677Zalgiris Kaunas8094Nevezis7677Zalgiris Kaunas8094Total 171 Margin ZAL by 17 Win ZAL 89% Actual 156 · ZAL won
Nevezis
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Zalgiris Kaunas
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Nevezis vs Zalgiris Kaunas
Nevezis
Zalgiris Kaunas
Last 9 and 16 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nevezis 0, Zalgiris Kaunas 4.
- Average total 164.8 points per meeting
- Over 168.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting ZAL by 18 May 17, 2026
Meetings
- May 17, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 98–80 Nevezis 178 pts
- Feb 18, 2026 LKL Nevezis 67–91 Zalgiris Kaunas 158 pts
- Jan 25, 2026 LKL Zalgiris Kaunas 88–73 Nevezis 161 pts
- Nov 9, 2025 LKL Nevezis 68–94 Zalgiris Kaunas 162 pts
Last five games
Nevezis
0-5 - Oct 7: Taurage 81, Nevezis 76. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.11, Nevezis 5.25.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
- Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
- May 17: Zalgiris Kaunas 98, Nevezis 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Zalgiris Kaunas
3-2 - Oct 9: Barcelona 81, Zalgiris Kaunas 88. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.76, Zalgiris Kaunas 2.07.
- Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
- Oct 1: Paris 82, Zalgiris Kaunas 78. Lost. Odds: Paris 2.54, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.52.
- Sep 29: Zalgiris Kaunas 91, Olympiacos 93. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 2.11, Olympiacos 1.73.
- Sep 27: Zalgiris Kaunas 101, Siauliai 82. Won. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.04, Siauliai 7.50.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Nevezis coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 3 days off for Nevezis, 1 for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- 4-0 in the last 4 meetings for Zalgiris Kaunas.
- Over/under moved down from 171.5 to 168.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 22.3 — Nevezis −8.9 per 100 possessions, Zalgiris Kaunas +13.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEV moneyline | 12.50 | moved down 10.60 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved down 168.5 |
| NEV spread | +22.5 | moved up +24.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zalgiris Kaunas |
7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 |
| 2 |  Rytas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 |  Lietkabelis |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 |
| 5 |  Neptunas |
8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 |
| 6 |  Jonava |
7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 |
| 7 |  Juventus |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 |
| 8 |  Siauliai |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 |
| 9 |  Taurage |
8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 |
| 10 | Nevezis |
6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nevezis host Zalgiris Kaunas in the LKL on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.