Nevezis vs Lietkabelis prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 83%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 160 Margin LIE by 4 Win LIE 64% Actual 145 · LIE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Nevezis vs Lietkabelis
Last 9 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nevezis 2, Lietkabelis 2.
- Average total 165.0 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LIE by 33 Apr 15, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 15, 2026 LKL Lietkabelis 105–72 Nevezis 177 pts
- Feb 7, 2026 LKL Nevezis 81–80 Lietkabelis 161 pts
- Dec 28, 2025 LKL Nevezis 77–69 Lietkabelis 146 pts
- Sep 28, 2025 LKL Lietkabelis 100–76 Nevezis 176 pts
Last five games
- Oct 14: Nevezis 86, Gargzdai 101. Lost. Odds: Nevezis 2.26, Gargzdai 1.51.
- Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
- Oct 7: Taurage 81, Nevezis 76. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.11, Nevezis 5.25.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
- Oct 13: Lietkabelis 95, PAOK 86. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 4.11, PAOK 1.21.
- Oct 10: Lietkabelis 65, Jonava 71. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.20, Jonava 3.70.
- Oct 7: BC Roma 92, Lietkabelis 87. Lost. Odds: BC Roma 1.15, Lietkabelis 5.00.
- Oct 4: Zalgiris Kaunas 97, Lietkabelis 68. Lost. Odds: Zalgiris Kaunas 1.06, Lietkabelis 6.47.
- Sep 30: Lietkabelis 75, KK Bosna 72. Won. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.69, KK Bosna 2.13.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Nevezis coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Nevezis dropped from 3.10 to 2.15 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.1 — Nevezis −8.9 per 100 possessions, Lietkabelis −1.8.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 165.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEV moneyline | 3.10 | moved down 2.15 |
| LIE moneyline | 1.32 | moved up 1.44 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved down 162.5 |
| NEV spread | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nevezis host Lietkabelis in the LKL on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.