Nevezis vs Gargzdai prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin GAR by 10 Win GAR 74% Actual 187 · GAR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Nevezis vs Gargzdai
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nevezis 1, Gargzdai 4.
- Average total 170.8 points per meeting
- Over 171.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GAR by 5 Apr 26, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 26, 2026 LKL Nevezis 85–90 Gargzdai 175 pts
- Mar 7, 2026 LKL Gargzdai 88–81 Nevezis 169 pts
- Dec 10, 2025 King Mindaugas Cup Gargzdai 90–74 Nevezis 164 pts
- Nov 16, 2025 LKL Gargzdai 86–79 Nevezis 165 pts
- Nov 3, 2025 LKL Nevezis 94–87 Gargzdai 181 pts
Last five games
- Oct 11: Nevezis 76, Zalgiris Kaunas 80. Lost. Odds: Nevezis 10.60, Zalgiris Kaunas –.
- Oct 7: Taurage 81, Nevezis 76. Lost. Odds: Taurage 1.11, Nevezis 5.25.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
- Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
- Oct 11: Taurage 82, Gargzdai 102. Won. Odds: Taurage 1.52, Gargzdai 2.24.
- Oct 6: Gargzdai 79, Jurbarkas 75. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 1.06, Jurbarkas 6.55.
- Oct 3: Rytas 102, Gargzdai 105. Won. Odds: Rytas 1.11, Gargzdai 5.01.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Sep 20: Gargzdai 90, Siauliai 79. Won. Odds: Gargzdai 2.20, Siauliai 1.57.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 10+ straight losses for Nevezis coming into this game.
- 5-game winning streak for Gargzdai coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Nevezis dropped from 2.60 to 2.26 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 14.2 — Nevezis −8.9 per 100 possessions, Gargzdai +5.3.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Gargzdai.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEV moneyline | 2.60 | moved down 2.26 |
| GAR moneyline | 1.40 | moved up 1.51 |
| Total points | 171.5 | 171.5 |
| NEV spread | +6.5 | +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
King Mindaugas Cup standings
Regular Season
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nevezis host Gargzdai in the King Mindaugas Cup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
