Neuchatel vs Lugano Tigers prediction
Neuchatel
18
18
8
25
Lugano Tigers
18
13
21
9
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Neuchatel69100Lugano Tigers6165Neuchatel69100Lugano Tigers6165Total 165 Margin NEU by 35 Win NEU 98% Actual 130 · NEU won
Neuchatel
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Lugano Tigers
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Neuchatel vs Lugano Tigers
Neuchatel
Lugano Tigers
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Neuchatel 2, Lugano Tigers 1.
- Average total 162.7 points per meeting
- Over 162.5 1 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting LUG by 2 Mar 7, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 7, 2026 SB League Neuchatel 77–79 Lugano Tigers 156 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 SB League Lugano Tigers 57–88 Neuchatel 145 pts
- Oct 4, 2025 SB League Neuchatel 96–91 Lugano Tigers 187 pts
Last five games
Neuchatel
1-4 - Sep 27: Fribourg Olympic 75, Neuchatel 68. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic –, Neuchatel 21.00.
- Apr 30: Neuchatel 70, Lausanne Basket 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 28: Lausanne Basket 85, Neuchatel 82. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 25: Lausanne Basket 93, Neuchatel 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 21: Neuchatel 94, Lausanne Basket 78. Won. No odds on record.
Lugano Tigers
2-3 - Sep 27: Lugano Tigers 94, BBC Monthey 72. Won. Odds: Lugano Tigers 1.67, BBC Monthey 2.12.
- Apr 4: SAM Massagno 107, Lugano Tigers 86. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 29: Regio Basel 98, Lugano Tigers 80. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 25: Lugano Tigers 64, Sdent BBC Nyon 96. Lost. No odds on record.
- Mar 21: Lugano Tigers 102, Lausanne Basket 90. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Neuchatel coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Lugano Tigers dropped from 6.40 to 2.15 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 9.3 — Neuchatel −8.6 per 100 possessions, Lugano Tigers −17.9.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Neuchatel.
- 162.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 162.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEU moneyline | 1.08 | moved up 1.65 |
| LUG moneyline | 6.40 | moved down 2.15 |
| Total points | 162.5 | 162.5 |
| NEU spread · regulation | −15.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Geneva Lions |
7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 660 | 414 | +246 |
| 2 |  Fribourg Olympic |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 601 | 459 | +142 |
| 3 |  SAM Massagno |
7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 642 | 549 | +93 |
| 4 |  Lausanne Basket |
7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 594 | 536 | +58 |
| 5 |  Sdent BBC Nyon |
7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 594 | 544 | +50 |
| 6 | Neuchatel |
7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 537 | −60 |
| 7 |  BBC Monthey |
7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 557 | 615 | −58 |
| 8 | Lugano Tigers |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 524 | 619 | −95 |
| 9 |  Regio Basel |
7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 472 | 620 | −148 |
| 10 |  Zurich |
7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 412 | 640 | −228 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neuchatel host Lugano Tigers in the SB League on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.