Neuchatel vs Geneva Lions prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 72%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 161 Margin GEN by 13 Win GEN 76% Actual 132 · GEN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Neuchatel vs Geneva Lions
Last 6 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Neuchatel 0, Geneva Lions 3.
- Average total 166.3 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting GEN by 21 Mar 21, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 21, 2026 SB League Neuchatel 69–90 Geneva Lions 159 pts
- Jan 21, 2026 SB League Neuchatel 83–96 Geneva Lions 179 pts
- Nov 4, 2025 SB League Geneva Lions 94–67 Neuchatel 161 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Neuchatel 65, Regio Basel 53. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 1.43, Regio Basel 2.67.
- Oct 3: SAM Massagno 104, Neuchatel 75. Lost. Odds: SAM Massagno 1.26, Neuchatel 3.40.
- Sep 30: Neuchatel 69, Lugano Tigers 61. Won. Odds: Neuchatel 1.65, Lugano Tigers 2.15.
- Sep 27: Fribourg Olympic 75, Neuchatel 68. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic –, Neuchatel 21.00.
- Apr 30: Neuchatel 70, Lausanne Basket 71. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 14: Geneva Lions 73, Bakken Bears 78. Lost. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.51, Bakken Bears 2.45.
- Oct 10: Lausanne Basket 65, Geneva Lions 94. Won. Odds: Lausanne Basket 2.47, Geneva Lions 1.32.
- Oct 7: Absheron Lions 83, Geneva Lions 105. Won. Odds: Absheron Lions 1.80, Geneva Lions 1.87.
- Oct 3: Geneva Lions 71, Fribourg Olympic 64. Won. Odds: Geneva Lions 1.87, Fribourg Olympic 1.87.
- Sep 29: Zurich 46, Geneva Lions 109. Won. Odds: Zurich 18.00, Geneva Lions –.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Neuchatel dropped from 6.00 to 4.45 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Neuchatel, 2 for Geneva Lions.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Geneva Lions.
- Over/under moved down from 155.5 to 152.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 36.6 — Neuchatel −8.6 per 100 possessions, Geneva Lions +28.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEU moneyline | 6.00 | moved down 4.45 |
| GEN moneyline | 1.09 | moved down 1.07 |
| Total points | 155.5 | moved down 152.5 |
| NEU spread | +14.5 | +14.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
SB League standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 660 | 414 | +246 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 601 | 459 | +142 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 642 | 549 | +93 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 594 | 536 | +58 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 594 | 544 | +50 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 477 | 537 | −60 | |
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 557 | 615 | −58 | |
| 8 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 524 | 619 | −95 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 472 | 620 | −148 | |
| 10 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 412 | 640 | −228 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neuchatel host Geneva Lions in the SB League on Saturday, October 17, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.