Neptunas vs Siauliai prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 165 Margin NEP by 5 Win NEP 65% Actual 198 · NEP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Neptunas vs Siauliai
Last 13 games each with full stats · all competitions
Neptunas at home, last 7 games · Siauliai away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Neptunas 2, Siauliai 2.
- Average total 182.5 points per meeting
- Over 173.5 3 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 15 Apr 19, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 19, 2026 LKL Neptunas 98–83 Siauliai 181 pts
- Mar 8, 2026 LKL Siauliai 81–90 Neptunas 171 pts
- Dec 28, 2025 LKL Neptunas 101–103 Siauliai 204 pts
- Nov 2, 2025 LKL Siauliai 89–85 Neptunas 174 pts
Last five games
- Oct 20: Buducnost 104, Neptunas 89. Lost. Odds: Buducnost 1.14, Neptunas 5.00.
- Oct 17: Jonava 83, Neptunas 84. Won. Odds: Jonava 3.10, Neptunas 1.33.
- Oct 13: Neptunas 93, JL Bourg 89. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2.14, JL Bourg 1.68.
- Oct 10: Rytas 86, Neptunas 77. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.25, Neptunas 3.20.
- Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
- Oct 20: Turk Telekom 84, Siauliai 94. Won. Odds: Turk Telekom 1.01, Siauliai 12.00.
- Oct 17: Siauliai 88, Rytas 95. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 2.97, Rytas 1.36.
- Oct 14: Siauliai 75, Cluj-Napoca 93. Lost. Odds: Siauliai 2.50, Cluj-Napoca 1.51.
- Oct 11: Siauliai 83, Juventus 71. Won. Odds: Siauliai 1.76, Juventus 1.91.
- Oct 6: Frankfurt 79, Siauliai 71. Lost. Odds: Frankfurt 1.48, Siauliai 2.54.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Neptunas dropped from 1.62 to 1.42 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved up from 167.5 to 173.5 since it was first published.
- Even head-to-head, 2-2 over the last 4 meetings.
- 182.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 173.5.
- 5th vs 8th in the LKL standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEP moneyline | 1.62 | moved down 1.42 |
| SIA moneyline | 2.20 | moved up 2.45 |
| Total points | 167.5 | moved up 173.5 |
| NEP spread | −6.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 1.000 | 651 | 511 | +140 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 456 | 417 | +39 | |
| 3 | Gargzdai | 7 | 5 | 2 | .714 | 634 | 619 | +15 |
| 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 631 | 649 | −18 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 4 | .500 | 685 | 682 | +3 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 549 | 556 | −7 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 698 | −16 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 666 | 698 | −32 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 651 | 702 | −51 | |
| 10 | 6 | 0 | 6 | .000 | 428 | 501 | −73 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neptunas host Siauliai in the LKL on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.