Neptunas vs Nevezis Prediction & Odds — Oct 3

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LKL Saturday, October 3, 2026Sat, Oct 3 Start10:00ET

NeptunasHome · 4-4 · 5th · 1.11

8934211420

NevezisAway · 0-6 · 10th · 5.08

6210121921

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Neptunas 34 21 14 20

Nevezis 10 12 19 21

FT Svyturio Arena · LithuaniaSvyturio Arena

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.11 89%

Neptunas to win edge −3.3%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.11 Neptunas to win Confidence89% model 73.3% · market 76.6% edge −3.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.11 73.3% 76.6% −3.3% 89% Won

Total points U181.5 1.42 76.3% 64.4% +11.9% 89% Won

Point spread NEV +20.5 1.35 66.3% 69.8% −3.5% 63% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neptunas8989

Nevezis6280

Total 169 actual 151

Winning margin NEP by 9 actual NEP by 27

Chance to win NEP 73% NEP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neptunas8989

Nevezis6280

Total 169 Margin NEP by 9 Win NEP 73% Actual 151 · NEP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Neptunas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Nevezis

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Other

Shooting

Neptunas vs Nevezis

Neptunas Nevezis

Last 13 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Neptunas 2-3

Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.
Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
Sep 23: Neptunas 99, Juventus 84. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.57, Juventus 2.20.
Sep 20: Neptunas 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 93. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 6.60, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.07.
Jun 13: Lietkabelis 82, Neptunas 91. Won. No odds on record.

Nevezis 0-5

Sep 27: Juventus 94, Nevezis 77. Lost. Odds: Juventus 1.28, Nevezis 3.25.
Sep 22: Jonava 85, Nevezis 65. Lost. Odds: Jonava 1.57, Nevezis 2.20.
May 17: Zalgiris Kaunas 98, Nevezis 80. Lost. No odds on record.
May 13: Nevezis 88, Rytas 117. Lost. No odds on record.
May 9: Nevezis 95, Juventus 98. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
NEP moneyline	1.22	moved down 1.11
NEV moneyline	4.00	moved up 5.08
Total points	175.5	175.5
NEP spread	−13.5	moved down −14.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	7	0	1.000	651	511	+140
2	Rytas	5	4	1	.800	456	417	+39
3	Gargzdai	7	5	2	.714	634	619	+15
4	Lietkabelis	8	4	4	.500	631	649	−18
5	Neptunas	8	4	4	.500	685	682	+3
6	Jonava	7	3	4	.429	549	556	−7
7	Juventus	8	3	5	.375	682	698	−16
8	Siauliai	8	3	5	.375	666	698	−32
9	Taurage	8	3	5	.375	651	702	−51
10	Nevezis	6	0	6	.000	428	501	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Neptunas host Nevezis in the LKL on Saturday, October 3, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.