Neptunas vs Juventus Prediction & Odds — Sep 23

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LKL Wednesday, September 23, 2026Wed, Sep 23 Start11:30ET

NeptunasHome · 4-4 · 5th · 1.57

9918312822

JuventusAway · 3-5 · 7th · 2.20

8416202028

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Neptunas 18 31 28 22

Juventus 16 20 20 28

FT Svyturio Arena · LithuaniaSvyturio Arena

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.53 89%

Neptunas to win edge +10.8%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.53 Neptunas to win Confidence89% model 72.5% · market 61.7% edge +10.8%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.53 72.5% 61.7% +10.8% 89% Won

Total points O173.5 1.60 52.7% 52.3% +0.4% 56% Won

Point spread NEP -4.5 1.91 63.9% 48.5% +15.4% 76% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neptunas9995

Juventus8480

Total 175 actual 183

Winning margin NEP by 15 actual NEP by 15

Chance to win NEP 87% NEP won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neptunas9995

Juventus8480

Total 175 Margin NEP by 15 Win NEP 87% Actual 183 · NEP won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Neptunas large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Juventus

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Neptunas vs Juventus

Neptunas Juventus

Last 13 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Neptunas 3-2

Sep 20: Neptunas 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 93. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 6.60, Zalgiris Kaunas 1.07.
Jun 13: Lietkabelis 82, Neptunas 91. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 11: Neptunas 66, Lietkabelis 63. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 8: Lietkabelis 80, Neptunas 68. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 6: Neptunas 86, Lietkabelis 73. Won. No odds on record.

Juventus 1-4

Sep 19: Lietkabelis 84, Juventus 82. Lost. Odds: Lietkabelis 1.62, Juventus 2.15.
Jun 12: Zalgiris Kaunas 95, Juventus 77. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 9: Juventus 69, Zalgiris Kaunas 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 7: Zalgiris Kaunas 107, Juventus 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 3: Juventus 103, Neptunas 90. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
NEP moneyline	1.38	moved up 1.57
JUV moneyline	2.80	moved down 2.20
Total points	174.5	moved up 176.5
NEP spread · regulation	−5.5	moved up −2.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LKL standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Zalgiris Kaunas	7	7	0	1.000	651	511	+140
2	Rytas	5	4	1	.800	456	417	+39
3	Gargzdai	7	5	2	.714	634	619	+15
4	Lietkabelis	8	4	4	.500	631	649	−18
5	Neptunas	8	4	4	.500	685	682	+3
6	Jonava	7	3	4	.429	549	556	−7
7	Juventus	8	3	5	.375	682	698	−16
8	Siauliai	8	3	5	.375	666	698	−32
9	Taurage	8	3	5	.375	651	702	−51
10	Nevezis	6	0	6	.000	428	501	−73

Playoffs: Quarter-finals

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Neptunas host Juventus in the LKL on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.