Neptunas vs JL Bourg prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 56%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin NEP by 8 Win NEP 68% Actual 182 · NEP won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Neptunas vs JL Bourg
Last 13 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Neptunas at home, last 7 games · JL Bourg away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 10: Rytas 86, Neptunas 77. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.25, Neptunas 3.20.
- Oct 7: Chemnitz 93, Neptunas 84. Lost. Odds: Chemnitz 1.62, Neptunas 2.20.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 89, Nevezis 62. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.11, Nevezis 5.08.
- Sep 29: Neptunas 73, Trento 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 1.96, Trento 1.81.
- Sep 26: Gargzdai 87, Neptunas 78. Lost. Odds: Gargzdai 2.19, Neptunas 1.55.
- Oct 10: Boulazac 84, JL Bourg 73. Lost. Odds: Boulazac 2.97, JL Bourg 1.36.
- Oct 6: JL Bourg 82, Tofas 89. Lost. Odds: JL Bourg 1.45, Tofas 2.60.
- Oct 3: JL Bourg 90, Chalon/Saone 77. Won. Odds: JL Bourg 1.52, Chalon/Saone 2.48.
- Sep 30: Basket Napoli 84, JL Bourg 76. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.40, JL Bourg 2.85.
- Sep 26: Saint Quentin 106, JL Bourg 103. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Saint Quentin 4.78, JL Bourg 1.17.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Odds moved: the odds on Neptunas dropped from 2.42 to 2.14 since they were first published.
- Over/under moved down from 172.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- 1-4 in the last five for Neptunas.
- 1-4 in the last five for JL Bourg.
- 7th vs 6th in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEP moneyline | 2.42 | moved down 2.14 |
| BOU moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.68 |
| Total points | 172.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| NEP spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 | |
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 | |
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 | |
| 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 | |
| 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 | |
| 8 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neptunas host JL Bourg in the EuroCup on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.