Neptunas vs Basket Napoli prediction
Neptunas
20
25
20
20
Basket Napoli
24
23
24
23
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 52%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Neptunas8588Basket Napoli9488Neptunas8588Basket Napoli9488Total 176 Win BAS 51% Actual 179 · BAS won
Neptunas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Basket Napoli
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Neptunas vs Basket Napoli
Neptunas
Basket Napoli
Last 13 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Neptunas at home, last 7 games · Basket Napoli away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Neptunas
3-2 - Oct 25: Neptunas 110, Siauliai 88. Won. Odds: Neptunas 1.42, Siauliai 2.45.
- Oct 20: Buducnost 104, Neptunas 89. Lost. Odds: Buducnost 1.14, Neptunas 5.00.
- Oct 17: Jonava 83, Neptunas 84. Won. Odds: Jonava 3.10, Neptunas 1.33.
- Oct 13: Neptunas 93, JL Bourg 89. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2.14, JL Bourg 1.68.
- Oct 10: Rytas 86, Neptunas 77. Lost. Odds: Rytas 1.25, Neptunas 3.20.
Basket Napoli
4-1 - Oct 25: Tortona 90, Basket Napoli 92. Won. Odds: Tortona 1.72, Basket Napoli 1.98.
- Oct 21: Basket Napoli 105, Tofas 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.23, Tofas 3.90.
- Oct 18: Basket Napoli 82, Olimpia Milano 98. Lost. Odds: Basket Napoli 1.70, Olimpia Milano 1.95.
- Oct 14: Slask Wroclaw 82, Basket Napoli 86. Won. Odds: Slask Wroclaw 3.89, Basket Napoli 1.23.
- Oct 11: Cantu 80, Basket Napoli 99. Won. Odds: Cantu 2.73, Basket Napoli 1.43.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 173.5 to 178.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 13.9 — Neptunas −3.6 per 100 possessions, Basket Napoli +10.3.
- 4-1 in the last five for Basket Napoli.
- 7th vs 1st in the EuroCup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEP moneyline | 2.37 | moved up 2.60 |
| BAS moneyline | 1.52 | moved down 1.46 |
| Total points | 173.5 | moved up 178.5 |
| NEP spread | +3.5 | moved up +4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
EuroCup standings
Regular Season · Group C
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Basket Napoli |
5 | 5 | 0 | 1.000 | 450 | 411 | +39 |
| 2 |  Chemnitz |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 441 | 390 | +51 |
| 3 |  Tofas |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 444 | 403 | +41 |
| 4 |  Buducnost |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 455 | 441 | +14 |
| 5 |  Trento |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 410 | 437 | −27 |
| 6 |  JL Bourg |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 414 | 441 | −27 |
| 7 | Neptunas |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 424 | 456 | −32 |
| 8 |  Slask Wroclaw |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 392 | 451 | −59 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neptunas host Basket Napoli in the EuroCup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.