Neptunas 2 vs Telsiai prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 152 Margin NEP by 6 Win NEP 68% Actual 157 · TEL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Neptunas 2 vs Telsiai
Last 9 and 10 games with full stats · all competitions
Neptunas 2 at home, last 5 games · Telsiai away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Neptunas 2 3, Telsiai 2.
- Average total 142.6 points per meeting
- Over 155.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NEP by 27 Mar 25, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 25, 2026 NKL Telsiai 66–93 Neptunas 2 159 pts
- Mar 23, 2026 NKL Neptunas 2 78–53 Telsiai 131 pts
- Mar 20, 2026 NKL Telsiai 67–61 Neptunas 2 128 pts
- Jan 10, 2026 NKL Telsiai 65–87 Neptunas 2 152 pts
- Oct 27, 2025 NKL Neptunas 2 62–81 Telsiai 143 pts
Last five games
- Oct 10: Neptunas 2 73, Silute 70. Won. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.57, Silute 2.20.
- Oct 6: Vytis VDU 88, Neptunas 2 84. Lost. Odds: Vytis VDU 1.98, Neptunas 2 1.72.
- Oct 3: Neptunas 2 72, Omega-Tauras 76. Lost. Odds: Neptunas 2 1.54, Omega-Tauras 2.35.
- Oct 1: Kretinga 76, Neptunas 2 91. Won. Odds: Kretinga 2.10, Neptunas 2 1.62.
- May 9: Suduva-Mantinga 76, Neptunas 2 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- Oct 10: Kedainiai BC 61, Telsiai 73. Won. Odds: Kedainiai BC 2.57, Telsiai 1.42.
- Oct 8: Telsiai 83, Mazeikiai 72. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.21, Mazeikiai 3.75.
- Oct 3: Telsiai 90, Plunges Olimpas 70. Won. Odds: Telsiai 1.40, Plunges Olimpas 2.75.
- Oct 1: Rytas 2 77, Telsiai 91. Won. Odds: Rytas 2 2.40, Telsiai 1.48.
- Mar 25: Telsiai 66, Neptunas 2 93. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game winning streak for Telsiai coming into this game.
- 5-0 away for Telsiai this season.
- Over/under moved down from 157.5 to 155.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.2 — Neptunas 2 +3.9 per 100 possessions, Telsiai +21.1.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Neptunas 2.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEP moneyline | 2.37 | moved down 2.35 |
| TEL moneyline | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Total points | 157.5 | moved down 155.5 |
| NEP spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NKL standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 20 | 882 | 725 | +157 | |
| 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 17 | 793 | 667 | +126 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 930 | 806 | +124 | |
| 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 693 | 668 | +25 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 870 | 824 | +46 | |
| 6 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 667 | 619 | +48 | |
| 7 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 814 | 781 | +33 | |
| 8 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 752 | 627 | +125 | |
| 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 861 | 882 | −21 | |
| 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 658 | 648 | +10 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 957 | 971 | −14 | |
| 12 | Kedainiai BC | 10 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 768 | 838 | −70 |
| 13 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 733 | 762 | −29 | |
| 14 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 737 | 817 | −80 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 797 | 881 | −84 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 765 | 865 | −100 | |
| 17 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 751 | 873 | −122 | |
| 18 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 9 | 696 | 870 | −174 |
- Winners stage
- Losers stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neptunas 2 host Telsiai in the NKL on Thursday, October 15, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
