Neftchi IK vs VEF Riga prediction
Neftchi IK
26
30
16
22
VEF Riga
24
26
30
30
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Neftchi IK9479VEF Riga11088Neftchi IK9479VEF Riga11088Total 167 Margin RIG by 9 Win RIG 69% Actual 204 · RIG won
Neftchi IK
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction VEF Riga
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Neftchi IK vs VEF Riga
Neftchi IK
VEF Riga
Last 6 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
Neftchi IK
1-4 - Oct 6: Mykonos 78, Neftchi IK 58. Lost. Odds: Mykonos 1.06, Neftchi IK 7.69.
- Sep 30: Parnu 73, Neftchi IK 61. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.55, Neftchi IK 2.27.
- Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
- Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Lost. No odds on record.
- Nov 12, 2025: BC Kalev/Cramo 88, Neftchi IK 82. Lost. No odds on record.
VEF Riga
5-0 - Oct 10: Tal Tech 70, VEF Riga 90. Won. Odds: Tal Tech 5.15, VEF Riga 1.12.
- Oct 7: VEF Riga 106, Lok. Plovdiv 83. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.07, Lok. Plovdiv 6.50.
- Oct 3: VEF Riga 82, BK Liepaja 55. Won. Odds: VEF Riga 1.04, BK Liepaja 9.56.
- Sep 29: VEF Riga 90, Keila KK 60. Won. Odds: VEF Riga –, Keila KK 21.00.
- Sep 26: BK Ogre 73, VEF Riga 92. Won. Odds: BK Ogre 3.97, VEF Riga 1.22.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 6-game winning streak for VEF Riga coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on VEF Riga dropped from 1.30 to 1.13 since they were first published.
- Rest advantage: 7 days off for Neftchi IK, 3 for VEF Riga.
- Over/under moved down from 164.5 to 161.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 27.3 — Neftchi IK −12.6 per 100 possessions, VEF Riga +14.7.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEF moneyline | 3.34 | moved up 5.59 |
| RIG moneyline | 1.30 | moved down 1.13 |
| Total points | 164.5 | moved down 161.5 |
| NEF spread | +10.5 | +10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group H
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mykonos |
4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 335 | 295 | +40 |
| 2 |  CSM Oradea |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 353 | 313 | +40 |
| 3 | VEF Riga |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 388 | 360 | +28 |
| 4 |  Lok. Plovdiv |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 341 | 344 | −3 |
| 5 |  Fribourg Olympic |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 293 | 341 | −48 |
| 6 | Neftchi IK |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 365 | −57 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neftchi IK host VEF Riga in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 14, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.