Neftchi IK vs Parnu Prediction & Odds

FIBA Europe Cup Wednesday, September 23, 2026Wed, Sep 23 Start11:00ET Final

Neftchi IKHome · 0-4 · 6th · 1.26

8020221820

ParnuAway · 1-3 · 5th · 3.40

6713161919

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Neftchi IK 20 22 18 20

Parnu 13 16 19 19

FT Baku Sports PalaceBaku Sports Palace · Final

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.26 68%

Neftchi IK to win edge −5.2%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.26 Neftchi IK to win Confidence68% model 67.8% · market 73.0% edge −5.2%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 58%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.26 67.8% 73.0% −5.2% 68% Won

Total points O165.5 1.85 53.9% 50.0% +3.9% 54% Lost

Point spread PAR +8.5 1.83 51.5% 48.5% +3.0% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neftchi IK8088

Parnu6780

Total 168 actual 147

Winning margin NEF by 8 actual NEF by 13

Chance to win NEF 68% NEF won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Neftchi IK8088

Parnu6780

Total 168 Margin NEF by 8 Win NEF 68% Actual 147 · NEF won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Neftchi IK large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Parnu

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Neftchi IK vs Parnu

Neftchi IK Parnu

Last 6 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Neftchi IK 3-2

Nov 19, 2025: Neftchi IK 86, Absheron Lions 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Nov 12, 2025: BC Kalev/Cramo 88, Neftchi IK 82. Lost. No odds on record.
Nov 5, 2025: Neftchi IK 92, Trefl Sopot 87. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 29, 2025: Absheron Lions 86, Neftchi IK 104. Won. No odds on record.
Oct 21, 2025: Neftchi IK 95, BC Kalev/Cramo 84. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.

Parnu 1-4

Mar 23: Parnu 88, Tartu Ulikool 89. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 20: Tartu Ulikool 80, Parnu 71. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 11: Parnu 88, Viimsi 75. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 7: Rigas Zelli 83, Parnu 75. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 4: Parnu 70, Tartu Ulikool 91. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
NEF moneyline	1.55	moved down 1.26
PAR moneyline	2.25	moved up 3.40
Total points · regulation	165.5	165.5
NEF spread · regulation	−8.5	−8.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

FIBA Europe Cup standings

Regular Season · Group H

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Mykonos	4	4	0	8	335	295	+40
2	CSM Oradea	4	3	1	7	353	313	+40
3	VEF Riga	4	2	2	6	388	360	+28
4	Lok. Plovdiv	4	2	2	6	341	344	−3
5	Fribourg Olympic	4	1	3	5	293	341	−48
6	Neftchi IK	4	0	4	4	308	365	−57

Regular Season · Group D

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Nancy	4	3	1	7	336	276	+60
2	Szczecin	4	3	1	7	349	329	+20
3	Keravnos	4	3	1	7	326	309	+17
4	Vienna Basket	4	1	3	5	313	330	−17
5	Parnu	4	1	3	5	297	323	−26
6	Nitra Blue Wings	4	1	3	5	301	355	−54

Second stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Neftchi IK host Parnu in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, September 23, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.