Neftchi IK vs CSM Oradea prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 63%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 168 Margin ORA by 8 Win ORA 70% Actual 182 · ORA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
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Shooting
Neftchi IK vs CSM Oradea
Last 6 and 12 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 21: Fribourg Olympic 78, Neftchi IK 73. Lost. Odds: Fribourg Olympic 1.30, Neftchi IK 3.10.
- Oct 14: Neftchi IK 94, VEF Riga 110. Lost. Odds: Neftchi IK 5.59, VEF Riga 1.13.
- Oct 6: Mykonos 78, Neftchi IK 58. Lost. Odds: Mykonos 1.06, Neftchi IK 7.69.
- Sep 30: Parnu 73, Neftchi IK 61. Lost. Odds: Parnu 1.55, Neftchi IK 2.27.
- Sep 23: Neftchi IK 80, Parnu 67. Won. Odds: Neftchi IK 1.26, Parnu 3.40.
- Oct 24: CSM Oradea 92, CSU Sibiu 73. Won. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.14, CSU Sibiu 4.05.
- Oct 21: CSM Oradea 92, VEF Riga 84. Won. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.53, VEF Riga 1.98.
- Oct 17: Dinamo Bucharest 87, CSM Oradea 73. Lost. Odds: Dinamo Bucharest 1.98, CSM Oradea 1.52.
- Oct 14: Lok. Plovdiv 79, CSM Oradea 69. Lost. Odds: Lok. Plovdiv 4.42, CSM Oradea 1.19.
- Oct 10: CSM Oradea 98, Arges Pitesti 92. Won. Odds: CSM Oradea 1.19, Arges Pitesti 4.05.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Neftchi IK coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 6 days off for Neftchi IK, 3 for CSM Oradea.
- Over/under moved up from 165.5 to 167.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 20.8 — Neftchi IK −12.6 per 100 possessions, CSM Oradea +8.2.
- 6th vs 2nd in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NEF moneyline | 4.33 | moved down 3.95 |
| ORA moneyline | 1.15 | moved up 1.23 |
| Total points | 165.5 | moved up 167.5 |
| NEF spread | +10.5 | moved down +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group H
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 335 | 295 | +40 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 353 | 313 | +40 | |
| 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 388 | 360 | +28 | |
| 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 341 | 344 | −3 | |
| 5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 293 | 341 | −48 | |
| 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 308 | 365 | −57 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Neftchi IK host CSM Oradea in the FIBA Europe Cup on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.