Nassjo vs Umea prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 85%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 162 Margin NAS by 16 Win NAS 86% Actual 166 · NAS won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Nassjo vs Umea
Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions
Nassjo at home, last 4 games · Umea away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nassjo 2, Umea 1.
- Average total 201.3 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 3 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NAS by 12 Feb 3, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 3, 2026 Basketligan Nassjo 120–108 OT Umea 228 pts · OT
- Nov 22, 2025 Basketligan Nassjo 97–79 Umea 176 pts
- Nov 1, 2025 Basketligan Umea 104–96 Nassjo 200 pts
Last five games
- Oct 16: Nassjo 74, Uppsala 80. Lost. Odds: Nassjo 1.53, Uppsala 2.38.
- Oct 13: BC Lulea 91, Nassjo 74. Lost. Odds: BC Lulea 1.14, Nassjo 3.55.
- Oct 9: Hogsbo 85, Nassjo 81. Lost. Odds: Hogsbo 1.51, Nassjo 2.39.
- Sep 29: Nassjo 79, Norrkoping 89. Lost. Odds: Nassjo 2.93, Norrkoping 1.36.
- Sep 25: Boras 75, Nassjo 79. Won. Odds: Boras 1.12, Nassjo 5.65.
- Oct 17: Boras 86, Umea 78. Lost. Odds: Boras 1.02, Umea 10.00.
- Oct 9: Umea 69, Jamtland 93. Lost. Odds: Umea 6.15, Jamtland 1.09.
- Sep 29: Umea 64, Sodertalje 78. Lost. Odds: Umea 2.95, Sodertalje 1.36.
- Sep 25: Norrkoping 108, Umea 75. Lost. Odds: Norrkoping 1.03, Umea 9.50.
- Mar 17: Umea 84, Uppsala 87. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 9-game losing streak for Umea coming into this game.
- 4-game losing streak for Nassjo coming into this game.
- Over/under moved down from 171.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.5 — Nassjo −5.1 per 100 possessions, Umea −12.6.
- 2-1 in the last 3 meetings for Nassjo.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NAS moneyline | 1.18 | moved up 1.26 |
| UME moneyline | 4.00 | moved down 3.40 |
| Total points | 171.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| NAS spread | −9.5 | moved up −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Basketligan standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 1.000 | 713 | 592 | +121 | |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 813 | 730 | +83 | |
| 3 | 9 | 7 | 2 | .778 | 872 | 748 | +124 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 3 | .625 | 733 | 681 | +52 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | .571 | 537 | 578 | −41 | |
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | .429 | 605 | 626 | −21 | |
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 632 | 663 | −31 | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | .375 | 682 | 700 | −18 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 5 | .286 | 582 | 637 | −55 | |
| 10 | 8 | 1 | 7 | .125 | 605 | 692 | −87 | |
| 11 | 7 | 0 | 7 | .000 | 544 | 671 | −127 |
- Playoffs: Qualifying Finals
- Relegation
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nassjo host Umea in the Basketligan on Monday, October 19, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.