Nagasaki vs Shinshu prediction
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 166 Win SHI 52% Actual 145 · NAG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Nagasaki vs Shinshu
Last 15 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Nagasaki at home, last 7 games · Shinshu away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 4: Kyoto 90, Nagasaki 65. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.56, Nagasaki 2.30.
- Oct 3: Kyoto 84, Nagasaki 76. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.47, Nagasaki 2.56.
- Sep 25: Nagasaki 78, Shimane 85. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 3.00, Shimane 1.32.
- Sep 23: Nagasaki 64, Shimane 89. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.60, Shimane 2.15.
- May 26: Nagasaki 72, Ryukyu 64. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Yokohama 84, Shinshu 89. Won. Odds: Yokohama 1.50, Shinshu 2.47.
- Oct 3: Yokohama 85, Shinshu 78. Lost. Odds: Yokohama 1.51, Shinshu 2.45.
- Sep 27: Shinshu 99, Toyama 81. Won. Odds: Shinshu 1.61, Toyama 2.23.
- Sep 26: Shinshu 85, Toyama 99. Lost. Odds: Shinshu 2.00, Toyama 1.75.
- May 17: Shinshu 84, Yokohama Excellence 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Nagasaki coming into this game.
- 1-5 away for Shinshu this season.
- Over/under moved down from 166.5 to 164.5 since it was first published.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NAG moneyline | 1.50 | moved up 1.62 |
| SHI moneyline | 2.40 | moved down 2.15 |
| Total points | 166.5 | moved down 164.5 |
| NAG spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nagasaki host Shinshu in the B League on Thursday, October 8, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

