Nagasaki vs Gunma prediction
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 150 Margin GUN by 14 Win GUN 81% Actual 129 · NAG won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Nagasaki vs Gunma
Last 15 and 13 games with full stats · all competitions
Nagasaki at home, last 7 games · Gunma away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Nagasaki 2, Gunma 0.
- Average total 163.0 points per meeting
- Over 152.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting NAG by 5 Feb 15, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 15, 2026 B League Gunma 72–77 Nagasaki 149 pts
- Feb 14, 2026 B League Gunma 80–97 Nagasaki 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 8: Nagasaki 74, Shinshu 71. Won. Odds: Nagasaki 1.62, Shinshu 2.15.
- Oct 4: Kyoto 90, Nagasaki 65. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.56, Nagasaki 2.30.
- Oct 3: Kyoto 84, Nagasaki 76. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Kyoto 1.47, Nagasaki 2.56.
- Sep 25: Nagasaki 78, Shimane 85. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 3.00, Shimane 1.32.
- Sep 23: Nagasaki 64, Shimane 89. Lost. Odds: Nagasaki 1.60, Shimane 2.15.
- Oct 8: Ryukyu 65, Gunma 76. Won. Odds: Ryukyu 2.10, Gunma 1.65.
- Oct 4: Gunma 86, Ibaraki Robots 77. Won. Odds: Gunma 1.20, Ibaraki Robots 4.26.
- Oct 3: Gunma 72, Ibaraki Robots 71. Won. Odds: Gunma 1.16, Ibaraki Robots 4.88.
- Sep 26: Gunma 91, Altiri Chiba 59. Won. Odds: Gunma 1.15, Altiri Chiba 5.02.
- Sep 24: Gunma 76, Altiri Chiba 74. Won. Odds: Gunma 1.09, Altiri Chiba 6.41.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Gunma coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Gunma dropped from 1.54 to 1.28 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.6 — Nagasaki −2.6 per 100 possessions, Gunma +14.0.
- −6.0 points away — Gunma averaged 82.2 at home and 76.2 away this season.
- 1-4 in the last five for Nagasaki.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| NAG moneyline | 2.35 | moved up 3.15 |
| GUN moneyline | 1.54 | moved down 1.28 |
| Total points | 151.5 | moved up 152.5 |
| NAG spread | +4.5 | moved up +6.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
B League standings
Regular Season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Regular Season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | Tokyo Sunrockers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 5 | Levanga Hokkaido | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Nagasaki host Gunma in the B League on Saturday, October 10, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

