Nacional vs Goes Prediction & Odds

Liga Uruguaya Monday, October 26, 2026Mon, Oct 26 Start20:30ET

NacionalHome · 1-2 · 9th · 1.20

11028272827

GoesAway · 3-1 · 2nd · 3.50

12430283135

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Nacional 28 27 28 27

Goes 30 28 31 35

FT Polideportivo Gran Parque Central · UruguayPolideportivo Gran Parque Central

Best tip of the game

Point spread Lost

NAC -10.5 1.81 51%

Nacional −10.5 on the spread edge −3.1%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Lost NAC -10.5 1.81 Nacional −10.5 on the spread Confidence51% model 46.4% · market 49.5% edge −3.1%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 67%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.20 81.4% 82.9% −1.5% 85% Lost

Total points O171.5 1.84 71.1% 49.4% +21.7% 65% Won

Point spread NAC -10.5 1.81 46.4% 49.5% −3.1% 51% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Nacional110100

Goes12487

Total 187 actual 234

Winning margin NAC by 13 actual GOE by 14

Chance to win NAC 81% GOE won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Nacional110100

Goes12487

Total 187 Margin NAC by 13 Win NAC 81% Actual 234 · GOE won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Nacional large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Goes

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Nacional vs Goes

Nacional Goes

Last 28 and 29 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Nacional 2-3

Oct 22: Atenas 77, Nacional 90. Won. Odds: Atenas 6.50, Nacional 1.04.
Oct 20: Nacional 81, Aguada 83. Lost. Odds: Nacional 1.44, Aguada 2.40.
May 28: Aguada 92, Nacional 91. After overtime. Lost. No odds on record.
May 25: Nacional 74, Aguada 87. Lost. No odds on record.
May 21: Aguada 89, Nacional 109. Won. No odds on record.

Goes 3-2

Oct 22: Goes 90, Malvin 71. Won. Odds: Goes 1.62, Malvin 2.02.
Oct 19: Defensor 83, Goes 64. Lost. Odds: Defensor 1.38, Goes 2.55.
Mar 23: Urunday 88, Goes 84. Lost. No odds on record.
Mar 20: Welcome 83, Goes 103. Won. No odds on record.
Mar 17: Bigua 94, Goes 97. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
NAC moneyline	1.08	moved up 1.20
GOE moneyline	5.67	moved down 3.50
Total points	169.5	169.5
NAC spread	−11.5	moved up −9.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Liga Uruguaya standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Bigua	4	4	0	8	374	333	+41
2	Goes	4	3	1	7	375	347	+28
3	Malvin	4	2	2	6	308	335	−27
4	Aguada	4	3	1	7	308	292	+16
5	Atenas	4	1	3	5	282	324	−42
6	Union Atletica	4	1	3	5	313	323	−10
7	Urunday	4	1	3	5	337	341	−4
8	Penarol	2	2	0	4	192	155	+37
9	Nacional	3	1	2	4	281	284	−3
10	Hebraica y Macabi	3	1	2	4	244	253	−9
11	Defensor	2	1	1	3	165	153	+12
12	Larranaga	4	1	3	5	314	353	−39

Winners stage
Losers stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss. The table follows the league’s own order. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Nacional host Goes in the Liga Uruguaya on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.