MZT Skopje vs AEK Larnaca prediction
MZT Skopje
20
22
11
16
AEK Larnaca
23
26
22
14
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
MZT Skopje6980AEK Larnaca8585MZT Skopje6980AEK Larnaca8585Total 165 Margin LAR by 5 Win LAR 62% Actual 154 · LAR won
MZT Skopje
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction AEK Larnaca
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
MZT Skopje vs AEK Larnaca
MZT Skopje
AEK Larnaca
Last 10 and 9 games with full stats · all competitions
MZT Skopje at home, last 6 games · AEK Larnaca away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
MZT Skopje
2-3 - Oct 24: Sutjeska 85, MZT Skopje 75. Lost. Odds: Sutjeska 1.80, MZT Skopje 1.87.
- Oct 20: Wurzburg 87, MZT Skopje 73. Lost. Odds: Wurzburg 1.05, MZT Skopje 7.30.
- Oct 16: MZT Skopje 70, TFT Skopje 66. Won. Odds: MZT Skopje 1.30, TFT Skopje 3.05.
- Oct 14: MZT Skopje 92, Tartu Ulikool 95. Lost. Odds: MZT Skopje 1.25, Tartu Ulikool 2.77.
- Oct 10: Kozuv 73, MZT Skopje 81. Won. No odds on record.
AEK Larnaca
4-1 - Oct 24: Paralimni 74, AEK Larnaca 85. Won. Odds: Paralimni 5.40, AEK Larnaca 1.07.
- Oct 21: AEK Larnaca 99, Tartu Ulikool 93. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.26, Tartu Ulikool 2.72.
- Oct 18: AEK Larnaca 83, Apoel BC 79. Won. Odds: AEK Larnaca 1.10, Apoel BC 4.85.
- Oct 14: Dziki Warszawa 94, AEK Larnaca 80. Lost. Odds: Dziki Warszawa 1.16, AEK Larnaca 4.88.
- Oct 11: Apollon 56, AEK Larnaca 90. Won. Odds: Apollon 4.65, AEK Larnaca 1.14.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for AEK Larnaca coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on AEK Larnaca dropped from 1.93 to 1.55 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 17.9 — MZT Skopje −3.7 per 100 possessions, AEK Larnaca +14.2.
- 6th vs 1st in the FIBA Europe Cup standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| SKO moneyline | 1.75 | moved up 2.25 |
| LAR moneyline | 1.93 | moved down 1.55 |
| Total points | 163.5 | moved down 162.5 |
| SKO spread | −1.5 | moved up +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
FIBA Europe Cup standings
Regular Season · Group E
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AEK Larnaca |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 337 | 321 | +16 |
| 2 |  Dziki Warszawa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 332 | +13 |
| 3 |  Iraklis |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 339 | 319 | +20 |
| 4 |  Wurzburg |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 316 | 298 | +18 |
| 5 |  Tartu Ulikool |
4 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 365 | 394 | −29 |
| 6 | MZT Skopje |
4 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 293 | 331 | −38 |
- Second stage
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
MZT Skopje host AEK Larnaca in the FIBA Europe Cup on Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.