Murcia vs Varese Prediction & Odds

Basketball Champions League Wednesday, October 7, 2026Wed, Oct 7 Start14:30ET

MurciaHome · 2-1 · 2nd · 1.12

8516232719

VareseAway · 1-2 · 3rd · 5.75

588142016

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Murcia 16 23 27 19

Varese 8 14 20 16

FT Palacio de Deportes de MurciaPalacio de Deportes de Murcia

Best tip of the game

Total points Lost

O161.5 1.33 76%

Over 161.5 points edge +6.3%

Best tip of the game Total points · Lost O161.5 1.33 Over 161.5 points Confidence76% model 76.6% · market 70.3% edge +6.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 66%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.12 67.4% 79.7% −12.3% 67% Won

Total points O161.5 1.33 76.6% 70.3% +6.3% 76% Lost

Point spread VAR +18.5 1.40 55.3% 65.0% −9.7% 56% Lost

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Murcia8592

Varese5884

Total 176 actual 143

Winning margin MUR by 8 actual MUR by 27

Chance to win MUR 67% MUR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Murcia8592

Varese5884

Total 176 Margin MUR by 8 Win MUR 67% Actual 143 · MUR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Murcia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Varese

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Murcia vs Varese

Murcia Varese

Last 8 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Murcia 2-3

Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Lost. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.
Jun 6: Murcia 76, Barcelona 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 4: Barcelona 87, Murcia 90. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 2: Murcia 68, Barcelona 91. Lost. No odds on record.

Varese 2-3

Oct 4: Scafati 77, Varese 85. Won. Odds: Scafati 1.94, Varese 1.83.
Sep 27: Varese 69, Virtus Bologna 90. Lost. Odds: Varese 2.25, Virtus Bologna 1.60.
May 10: Virtus Bologna 104, Varese 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Apr 26: Varese 84, Cremona 75. Won. No odds on record.
Apr 19: Cantu 100, Varese 96. Lost. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MUR moneyline	1.25	moved down 1.12
VAR moneyline	3.83	moved up 5.75
Total points	169.5	moved up 170.5
MUR spread	−13.5	−13.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

Basketball Champions League standings

Regular Season · Group D

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Peristeri	3	3	0	6	258	241	+17
2	Murcia	3	2	1	5	243	205	+38
3	Varese	3	1	2	4	235	231	+4
4	Bamberg	3	0	3	3	215	274	−59

Winners stage
Qualification - Winners stage

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Murcia host Varese in the Basketball Champions League on Wednesday, October 7, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.

Murcia vs Varese prediction