Murcia vs Tenerife prediction
Murcia
13
20
24
20
Tenerife
16
28
22
24
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Murcia7786Tenerife9080Murcia7786Tenerife9080Total 166 Margin MUR by 6 Win MUR 63% Actual 167 · TEN won
Murcia
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Tenerife
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Murcia vs Tenerife
Murcia
Tenerife
Last 8 and 11 games with full stats · all competitions
Murcia at home, last 5 games · Tenerife away, last 5
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Murcia 1, Tenerife 1.
- Average total 171.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MUR by 6 Apr 25, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 25, 2026 ACB Murcia 86–80 Tenerife 166 pts
- Oct 18, 2025 ACB Tenerife 96–80 Murcia 176 pts
Last five games
Murcia
3-2 - Oct 7: Murcia 85, Varese 58. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.12, Varese 5.75.
- Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
- Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Lost. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.
- Jun 6: Murcia 76, Barcelona 100. Lost. No odds on record.
- Jun 4: Barcelona 87, Murcia 90. Won. No odds on record.
Tenerife
2-3 - Oct 6: London Lions 89, Tenerife 77. Lost. Odds: London Lions 2.62, Tenerife 1.47.
- Oct 3: Unicaja 75, Tenerife 80. Won. Odds: Unicaja 1.42, Tenerife 2.78.
- Sep 30: Tenerife 82, Turk Telekom 75. Won. Odds: Tenerife 1.54, Turk Telekom 2.41.
- Sep 27: Tenerife 80, Basket Zaragoza 81. Lost. Odds: Tenerife 1.32, Basket Zaragoza 3.24.
- Jun 13: Tenerife 76, Barcelona 85. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved down from 177.5 to 169.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 10.0 — Murcia +0.4 per 100 possessions, Tenerife +10.4.
- 10th vs 4th in the ACB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MUR moneyline | 1.47 | moved down 1.42 |
| TEN moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 2.79 |
| Total points | 177.5 | moved down 169.5 |
| MUR spread | −4.5 | −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Madrid |
6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 |
| 2 |  Valencia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 |
| 3 |  Baskonia |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 |
| 4 | Tenerife |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 |
| 5 |  Breogan |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 |
| 6 |  Basket Zaragoza |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 |
| 7 |  Barcelona |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 |
| 8 |  Bilbao |
6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 |
| 9 |  Unicaja |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 |
| 10 | Murcia |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 |
| 11 |  Obradoiro CAB |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 |
| 12 |  Basquet Girona |
6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 |
| 13 |  San Pablo Burgos |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 |
| 14 |  Joventut Badalona |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 |
| 15 |  Leyma Coruna |
6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 |
| 16 |  MoraBanc Andorra |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 |
| 17 |  Forca Lleida |
6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 |
| 18 |  Manresa |
6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Murcia host Tenerife in the ACB on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.