Murcia vs Leyma Coruna prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 64%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 174 Margin MUR by 2 Win MUR 56% Actual 169 · MUR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Murcia vs Leyma Coruna
Last 8 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Last five games
- Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 14: Bamberg 67, Murcia 86. Won. Odds: Bamberg 3.31, Murcia 1.31.
- Oct 11: Murcia 77, Tenerife 90. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.42, Tenerife 2.79.
- Oct 7: Murcia 85, Varese 58. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.12, Varese 5.75.
- Oct 4: Murcia 100, Barcelona 94. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.92, Barcelona 1.85.
- Oct 18: Basquet Girona 110, Leyma Coruna 90. Lost. Odds: Basquet Girona 1.38, Leyma Coruna 2.72.
- Oct 10: Leyma Coruna 71, Basket Zaragoza 92. Lost. Odds: Leyma Coruna 2.31, Basket Zaragoza 1.59.
- Oct 4: Leyma Coruna 104, Bilbao 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Leyma Coruna 2.06, Bilbao 1.73.
- Sep 26: Barcelona 119, Leyma Coruna 101. Lost. Odds: Barcelona 1.10, Leyma Coruna 6.34.
- Jun 7: Estudiantes 97, Leyma Coruna 100. After overtime. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 180.5 to 182.5 since it was first published.
- Net rating difference of 16.2 — Murcia +0.4 per 100 possessions, Leyma Coruna −15.8.
- 10th vs 15th in the ACB standings.
- Different pace — Murcia averaged 77.0 possessions per game, Leyma Coruna 82.4.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MUR moneyline | 1.17 | moved down 1.14 |
| LEY moneyline | 4.50 | moved up 5.10 |
| Total points | 180.5 | moved up 182.5 |
| MUR spread | −9.5 | moved down −10.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Murcia host Leyma Coruna in the ACB on Saturday, October 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.