Murcia vs Forca Lleida prediction

All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 177 Margin MUR by 7 Win MUR 69% Actual 223 · MUR won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Murcia vs Forca Lleida
Last 8 and 5 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Murcia 2, Forca Lleida 0.
- Average total 194.5 points per meeting
- Over 182.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MUR by 21 May 29, 2026
Meetings
- May 29, 2026 ACB Murcia 116–95 Forca Lleida 211 pts
- Nov 22, 2025 ACB Forca Lleida 71–107 Murcia 178 pts
Last five games
- Oct 27: Murcia 72, Peristeri 80. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.06, Peristeri 8.00.
- Oct 24: Murcia 88, Leyma Coruna 81. Won. Odds: Murcia 1.14, Leyma Coruna 5.10.
- Oct 18: Valencia 116, Murcia 93. Lost. Odds: Valencia 1.20, Murcia 4.00.
- Oct 14: Bamberg 67, Murcia 86. Won. Odds: Bamberg 3.31, Murcia 1.31.
- Oct 11: Murcia 77, Tenerife 90. Lost. Odds: Murcia 1.42, Tenerife 2.79.
- Oct 25: Forca Lleida 86, Real Madrid 122. Lost. Odds: Forca Lleida 6.00, Real Madrid 1.10.
- Oct 18: Basket Zaragoza 109, Forca Lleida 98. Lost. Odds: Basket Zaragoza 1.29, Forca Lleida 3.15.
- Oct 11: Obradoiro CAB 91, Forca Lleida 89. Lost. Odds: Obradoiro CAB 1.75, Forca Lleida 2.00.
- Oct 4: Forca Lleida 81, San Pablo Burgos 94. Lost. Odds: Forca Lleida 1.34, San Pablo Burgos 3.12.
- Sep 27: Valencia 100, Forca Lleida 105. Won. Odds: Valencia 1.11, Forca Lleida 6.12.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 4-game losing streak for Forca Lleida coming into this game.
- Rest advantage: 5 days off for Forca Lleida, 3 for Murcia.
- Net rating difference of 15.0 — Murcia +0.4 per 100 possessions, Forca Lleida −14.6.
- 10th vs 17th in the ACB standings.
- Different pace — Murcia averaged 77.0 possessions per game, Forca Lleida 83.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MUR moneyline | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| FOR moneyline | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| Total points | 181.5 | moved up 182.5 |
| MUR spread | −9.5 | −9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
ACB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 654 | 526 | +128 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 594 | 523 | +71 | |
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 567 | 497 | +70 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 527 | 479 | +48 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 628 | 592 | +36 | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 552 | 523 | +29 | |
| 7 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 582 | 570 | +12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 557 | 556 | +1 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 530 | 507 | +23 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 560 | 563 | −3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 533 | 576 | −43 | |
| 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 543 | 594 | −51 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 528 | 525 | +3 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 551 | 549 | +2 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 540 | 599 | −59 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 507 | 579 | −72 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 557 | 641 | −84 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 506 | 617 | −111 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Relegation - Primera FEB
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Murcia host Forca Lleida in the ACB on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.
