Murcia vs Barcelona Prediction & Odds

ACB Sunday, October 4, 2026Sun, Oct 4 Start13:00ET Round 2

MurciaHome · 3-3 · 10th · 1.92

10018282430

BarcelonaAway · 4-2 · 7th · 1.85

9418282721

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Murcia 18 28 24 30

Barcelona 18 28 27 21

FT Palacio de Deportes de Murcia · SpainPalacio de Deportes de Murcia · Round 2

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.92 51%

Murcia to win edge −2.7%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.92 Murcia to win Confidence51% model 41.1% · market 43.8% edge −2.7%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 53%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.92 41.1% 43.8% −2.7% 51% Won

Total points O174.5 1.84 53.6% 50.0% +3.6% 54% Won

Point spread MUR +2.5 1.77 53.0% 50.0% +3.0% 53% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Murcia10092

Barcelona9489

Total 181 actual 194

Winning margin MUR by 3 actual MUR by 6

Chance to win MUR 56% MUR won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Murcia10092

Barcelona9489

Total 181 Margin MUR by 3 Win MUR 56% Actual 194 · MUR won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 6+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Murcia large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Barcelona

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Murcia vs Barcelona

Murcia Barcelona

Last 8 and 17 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Murcia 2-3

Sep 27: Basquet Girona 84, Murcia 77. Lost. Odds: Basquet Girona 2.21, Murcia 1.64.
Jun 6: Murcia 76, Barcelona 100. Lost. No odds on record.
Jun 4: Barcelona 87, Murcia 90. Won. No odds on record.
Jun 2: Murcia 68, Barcelona 91. Lost. No odds on record.
May 29: Murcia 116, Forca Lleida 95. Won. No odds on record.

Barcelona 3-2

Oct 2: Besiktas 82, Barcelona 95. Won. Odds: Besiktas 1.78, Barcelona 2.05.
Sep 29: Dubai 94, Barcelona 87. Lost. Odds: Dubai 1.34, Barcelona 3.20.
Sep 26: Barcelona 119, Leyma Coruna 101. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.10, Leyma Coruna 6.34.
Sep 24: Barcelona 89, Anadolu Efes 82. Won. Odds: Barcelona 1.90, Anadolu Efes 1.90.
Sep 20: Joventut Badalona 101, Barcelona 87. Lost. Odds: Joventut Badalona 2.02, Barcelona 1.74.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MUR moneyline	2.07	moved down 1.92
BAR moneyline	1.67	moved up 1.85
Total points	174.5	moved up 175.5
MUR spread	+1.5	+1.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

ACB standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Real Madrid	6	6	0	12	654	526	+128
2	Valencia	6	4	2	10	594	523	+71
3	Baskonia	6	4	2	10	567	497	+70
4	Tenerife	6	4	2	10	527	479	+48
5	Breogan	6	4	2	10	628	592	+36
6	Basket Zaragoza	6	4	2	10	552	523	+29
7	Barcelona	6	4	2	10	582	570	+12
8	Bilbao	6	4	2	10	557	556	+1
9	Unicaja	6	3	3	9	530	507	+23
10	Murcia	6	3	3	9	560	563	−3
11	Obradoiro CAB	6	3	3	9	533	576	−43
12	Basquet Girona	6	3	3	9	543	594	−51
13	San Pablo Burgos	6	2	4	8	528	525	+3
14	Joventut Badalona	6	2	4	8	551	549	+2
15	Leyma Coruna	6	2	4	8	540	599	−59
16	MoraBanc Andorra	6	1	5	7	507	579	−72
17	Forca Lleida	6	1	5	7	557	641	−84
18	Manresa	6	0	6	6	506	617	−111

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Relegation - Primera FEB

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Murcia host Barcelona in the ACB on Sunday, October 4, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.