Motilones del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota prediction
Motilones del Norte
23
19
15
38
Piratas de Bogota
16
25
26
20
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 69%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Motilones del Norte9586Piratas de Bogota8778Motilones del Norte9586Piratas de Bogota8778Total 164 Margin MDN by 8 Win MDN 70% Actual 182 · MDN won
Motilones del Norte
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Piratas de Bogota
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Motilones del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota
Motilones del Norte
Piratas de Bogota
Last 9 and 14 games with full stats · all competitions
Motilones del Norte at home, last 4 games · Piratas de Bogota away, last 6
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Motilones del Norte 1, Piratas de Bogota 4.
- Average total 152.6 points per meeting
- Overtime 0 of 5 meetings went to overtime
- Last meeting MDN by 3 Oct 14, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 14, 2026 LBP Piratas de Bogota 66–69 Motilones del Norte 135 pts
- Oct 13, 2026 LBP Piratas de Bogota 94–73 Motilones del Norte 167 pts
- Sep 30, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 80–83 Piratas de Bogota 163 pts
- Apr 17, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 67–82 Piratas de Bogota 149 pts
- Apr 16, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 72–77 Piratas de Bogota 149 pts
Last five games
Motilones del Norte
3-2 - Sep 30: Motilones del Norte 80, Piratas de Bogota 83. Lost. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.65, Piratas de Bogota 2.05.
- May 11: Motilones del Norte 107, Sabios Baloncesto 99. Won. No odds on record.
- May 10: Motilones del Norte 89, Sabios Baloncesto 94. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 7: Motilones del Norte 103, Caribbean Storm Islands 96. Won. No odds on record.
- May 6: Motilones del Norte 80, Caribbean Storm Islands 71. Won. No odds on record.
Piratas de Bogota
2-3 - Sep 30: Motilones del Norte 80, Piratas de Bogota 83. Won. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.65, Piratas de Bogota 2.05.
- May 26: Piratas de Bogota 86, Toros del Valle 91. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 24: Toros del Valle 90, Piratas de Bogota 81. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 23: Toros del Valle 102, Piratas de Bogota 72. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 20: Piratas de Bogota 94, Cimarrones del Choco 78. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Motilones del Norte and Piratas de Bogota played yesterday.
- 4-1 in the last 5 meetings for Piratas de Bogota.
- +8.7 points at home — Motilones del Norte averaged 88.4 at home and 79.7 away this season.
- −9.7 points away — Piratas de Bogota averaged 84.4 at home and 74.7 away this season.
- 152.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 159.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MDN moneyline | 1.78 | moved down 1.75 |
| PDB moneyline | 1.90 | moved up 1.93 |
| Total points · regulation | 159.5 | 159.5 |
| MDN spread · regulation | −1.5 | −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LBP standings
Clausura · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motilones del Norte |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1035 | 980 | +55 |
| 2 | Piratas de Bogota |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 934 | 917 | +17 |
| 3 |  Caimanes del Llano |
11 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 947 | 899 | +48 |
| 4 |  Capitanes Bogota |
11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 799 | 919 | −120 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Motilones del Norte host Piratas de Bogota in the LBP on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.