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Motilones del Norte vs Piratas de Bogota prediction

LBP Wednesday, September 30, 2026Wed, Sep 30 Start21:30ET
Motilones del NorteHome · 5-9 · 1st · Moneyline 1.65
801st quarter 192nd quarter 183rd quarter 194th quarter 24
Piratas de BogotaAway · 8-6 · 2nd · Moneyline 2.05
831st quarter 222nd quarter 213rd quarter 264th quarter 14
By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Motilones del Norte 19 18 19 24
Piratas de Bogota 22 21 26 14
FT Toto Hernandez Coliseum · ColombiaToto Hernandez Coliseum
Best tip of the game
Moneyline Lost
1 1.65 89% confidence
Motilones del Norte to win edge +15.2%
Best tip of the game Moneyline · Lost 1 1.65 Motilones del Norte to win Confidence89% model 70.6% · market 55.4% edge +15.2%

All predictions

2 picks graded · Average confidence 89%
Picks for this game
Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result
Moneyline 1 1.65 70.6% 55.4% +15.2% 89% Lost
Total points O150.5 — 72.0% 72.0% 0.0% 89% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.

Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Motilones del Norte8088
Piratas de Bogota8379
Total 167 actual 163
Winning margin MDN by 9 actual PDB by 3
Chance to win MDN 71% PDB won
Predicted final score
ActualPredicted
Motilones del Norte8088
Piratas de Bogota8379

Total 167 Margin MDN by 9 Win MDN 71% Actual 163 · PDB won

Motilones del Norte host Piratas de Bogota in the LBP on Wednesday, September 30, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.