Motilones del Norte vs Capitanes Bogota prediction
Motilones del Norte
17
15
33
18
Capitanes Bogota
23
19
16
21
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 61%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Motilones del Norte8386Capitanes Bogota7971Motilones del Norte8386Capitanes Bogota7971Total 157 Margin MDN by 15 Win MDN 79% Actual 162 · MDN won
Motilones del Norte
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Capitanes Bogota
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Motilones del Norte vs Capitanes Bogota
Motilones del Norte
Capitanes Bogota
Last 9 games each with full stats · all competitions
Motilones del Norte at home, last 4 games · Capitanes Bogota away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Motilones del Norte 2, Capitanes Bogota 0.
- Average total 150.0 points per meeting
- Over 156.5 0 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MDN by 28 Oct 22, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 22, 2026 LBP Motilones del Norte 88–60 Capitanes Bogota 148 pts
- Oct 6, 2026 LBP Capitanes Bogota 71–81 Motilones del Norte 152 pts
Last five games
Motilones del Norte
3-2 - Oct 18: Motilones del Norte 77, Caimanes del Llano 73. Won. Odds: Motilones del Norte 1.95, Caimanes del Llano 1.75.
- Oct 14: Piratas de Bogota 66, Motilones del Norte 69. Won. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.31, Motilones del Norte 3.05.
- Oct 13: Piratas de Bogota 94, Motilones del Norte 73. Lost. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.70, Motilones del Norte 2.00.
- Oct 9: Caimanes del Llano 84, Motilones del Norte 71. Lost. Odds: Caimanes del Llano 1.62, Motilones del Norte 2.10.
- Oct 8: Caimanes del Llano 91, Motilones del Norte 115. Won. Odds: Caimanes del Llano 1.29, Motilones del Norte 3.15.
Capitanes Bogota
0-5 - Oct 18: Piratas de Bogota 78, Capitanes Bogota 71. Lost. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.10, Capitanes Bogota 4.81.
- Oct 17: Piratas de Bogota 76, Capitanes Bogota 57. Lost. Odds: Piratas de Bogota 1.16, Capitanes Bogota 4.57.
- Oct 14: Capitanes Bogota 74, Caimanes del Llano 85. Lost. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 5.25, Caimanes del Llano 1.11.
- Oct 13: Capitanes Bogota 76, Caimanes del Llano 85. Lost. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 8.50, Caimanes del Llano 1.04.
- Oct 9: Capitanes Bogota 59, Piratas de Bogota 73. Lost. Odds: Capitanes Bogota 3.75, Piratas de Bogota 1.21.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Nothing at stake: the standings are already decided for Capitanes Bogota.
- 7-game losing streak for Capitanes Bogota coming into this game.
- Net rating difference of 17.7 — Motilones del Norte +0.3 per 100 possessions, Capitanes Bogota −17.4.
- +8.7 points at home — Motilones del Norte averaged 88.4 at home and 79.7 away this season.
- 1st vs 4th in the LBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MDN moneyline | 1.07 | moved up 1.10 |
| CAP moneyline | 5.46 | moved up 6.00 |
| Total points | 156.5 | 156.5 |
| MDN spread | −13.5 | −13.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LBP standings
Clausura · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Motilones del Norte |
12 | 9 | 3 | 21 | 1035 | 980 | +55 |
| 2 |  Piratas de Bogota |
12 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 934 | 917 | +17 |
| 3 |  Caimanes del Llano |
11 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 947 | 899 | +48 |
| 4 | Capitanes Bogota |
11 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 799 | 919 | −120 |
- Clausura - Playoffs: Semi-finals
- Clausura - Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Motilones del Norte host Capitanes Bogota in the LBP on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.