Moron vs Toledo prediction
Moron
18
28
17
27
Toledo
22
21
13
25
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 55%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Moron9076Toledo8175Moron9076Toledo8175Total 151 Margin MOR by 1 Win MOR 51% Actual 171 · MOR won
Moron vs Toledo
Moron
Toledo
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Moron 2, Toledo 0.
- Average total 166.0 points per meeting
- Over 154.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MOR by 1 Mar 22, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 22, 2026 Segunda FEB Toledo 74–75 Moron 149 pts
- Dec 6, 2025 Segunda FEB Moron 93–90 OT Toledo 183 pts · OT
Last five games
Moron
1-4 - Oct 17: Estudiantes B 68, Moron 67. Lost. Odds: Estudiantes B 3.00, Moron 1.34.
- Oct 10: Moron 93, Tres Cantos 90. After overtime. Won. Odds: Moron 1.34, Tres Cantos 2.90.
- Oct 4: Leonesa 83, Moron 73. Lost. Odds: Leonesa 1.85, Moron 1.82.
- May 16: Sant Antoni 75, Moron 68. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Moron 67, Sant Antoni 98. Lost. No odds on record.
Toledo
3-2 - Oct 18: Toledo 100, Algeciras 79. Won. Odds: Toledo 1.25, Algeciras 3.57.
- Oct 10: Estudiantes B 78, Toledo 86. Won. No odds on record.
- Oct 4: Toledo 66, Caceres 82. Lost. Odds: Toledo 1.53, Caceres 2.30.
- Apr 18: Toledo 75, Caceres 77. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 12: Cordoba 64, Toledo 66. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 in the last five for Moron.
- 6th vs 4th in the Segunda FEB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MOR moneyline | 1.62 | moved up 1.70 |
| TOL moneyline | 2.08 | moved down 1.95 |
| Total points | 154.5 | 154.5 |
| MOR spread | −2.5 | moved up −1.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
Segunda FEB standings
Regular Season · Group A
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla |
5 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 421 | 359 | +62 |
| 2 |  Caceres |
5 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 424 | 378 | +46 |
| 3 | CBC Valladolid | 5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 428 | 378 | +50 |
| 4 | Toledo |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 426 | 410 | +16 |
| 5 |  Ponferrada |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 408 | 396 | +12 |
| 6 | Moron |
5 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 397 | 393 | +4 |
| 7 |  Leonesa |
4 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 345 | 329 | +16 |
| 8 |  Jaen Paraiso |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 391 | 405 | −14 |
| 9 |  Algeciras |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 398 | 414 | −16 |
| 10 |  Tres Cantos |
5 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 359 | 403 | −44 |
| 11 |  CB Getafe |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 376 | 388 | −12 |
| 12 |  Spanish Basketball Academy |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 383 | 396 | −13 |
| 13 |  Estudiantes B |
5 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 361 | 401 | −40 |
| 14 |  Badajoz |
4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 295 | 362 | −67 |
- Winners Playoffs
- Promotion - Playoffs
- Relegation - Playoffs
- Relegation
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Moron host Toledo in the Segunda FEB on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.