Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 80%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 227 Margin MIN by 5 Win MIN 61% Actual 211 · MIN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors
Last 7 and 6 games with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Minnesota Timberwolves 2, Toronto Raptors 0.
- Average total 238.0 points per meeting
- Over 229.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 8 Mar 5, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 5, 2026 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 115–107 Toronto Raptors 222 pts
- Feb 4, 2026 NBA Toronto Raptors 126–128 Minnesota Timberwolves 254 pts
Last five games
- Oct 23: Orlando Magic 93, Minnesota Timberwolves 115. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.85, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.98.
- Oct 21: Miami Heat 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 131. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 1.72, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.98.
- Oct 16: Chicago Bulls 133, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Lost. Odds: Chicago Bulls 1.39, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.75.
- Oct 14: Minnesota Timberwolves 106, Detroit Pistons 128. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves 1.50, Detroit Pistons 2.46.
- Oct 12: New York Knicks 104, Minnesota Timberwolves 122. Won. Odds: New York Knicks 1.86, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.88.
- Oct 23: Washington Wizards 102, Toronto Raptors 112. Won. Odds: Washington Wizards 3.60, Toronto Raptors 1.31.
- Oct 21: Toronto Raptors 135, Chicago Bulls 92. Won. Odds: Toronto Raptors 1.21, Chicago Bulls 3.80.
- Oct 16: Detroit Pistons 129, Toronto Raptors 125. Lost. Odds: Detroit Pistons 1.16, Toronto Raptors 3.85.
- Oct 15: New York Knicks 122, Toronto Raptors 120. Lost. Odds: New York Knicks 1.52, Toronto Raptors 2.37.
- Oct 13: Toronto Raptors 148, New York Knicks 98. Won. Odds: Toronto Raptors 1.23, New York Knicks 3.90.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Minnesota Timberwolves and Toronto Raptors played yesterday.
- Over/under moved down from 232.5 to 229.5 since it was first published.
- −13.4 points away — Toronto Raptors averaged 126.2 at home and 112.8 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.73 | moved down 1.63 |
| TOR moneyline | 2.00 | moved up 2.33 |
| Total points | 232.5 | moved down 229.5 |
| MIN spread | −2.5 | moved down −3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 | |
| 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 | |
| 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 | |
| 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 | |
| 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 | |
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 | |
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 | |
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 | |
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 | |
| 15 | 5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Minnesota Timberwolves host Toronto Raptors in the NBA on Sunday, October 25, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.