Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors prediction
Minnesota Timberwolves
23
25
33
33
Golden State Warriors
30
34
29
26
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 82%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Minnesota Timberwolves114119Golden State Warriors119111Minnesota Timberwolves114119Golden State Warriors119111Total 230 Margin MIN by 8 Win MIN 71% Actual 233 · GSW won
Minnesota Timberwolves
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Golden State Warriors
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
Minnesota Timberwolves
Golden State Warriors
Last 7 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Minnesota Timberwolves 3, Golden State Warriors 1.
- Average total 219.5 points per meeting
- Over 227.5 2 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 10 Mar 13, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 13, 2026 NBA Golden State Warriors 117–127 Minnesota Timberwolves 244 pts
- Jan 26, 2026 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 108–83 Golden State Warriors 191 pts
- Jan 25, 2026 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 85–111 Golden State Warriors 196 pts
- Dec 12, 2025 NBA Golden State Warriors 120–127 Minnesota Timberwolves 247 pts
Last five games
Minnesota Timberwolves
3-2 - Oct 26: Cleveland Cavaliers 127, Minnesota Timberwolves 125. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.28.
- Oct 25: Minnesota Timberwolves 117, Toronto Raptors 94. Won. Odds: Minnesota Timberwolves 1.63, Toronto Raptors 2.33.
- Oct 23: Orlando Magic 93, Minnesota Timberwolves 115. Won. Odds: Orlando Magic 1.85, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.98.
- Oct 21: Miami Heat 106, Minnesota Timberwolves 131. Won. Odds: Miami Heat 1.72, Minnesota Timberwolves 1.98.
- Oct 16: Chicago Bulls 133, Minnesota Timberwolves 116. Lost. Odds: Chicago Bulls 1.39, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.75.
Golden State Warriors
2-3 - Oct 26: Denver Nuggets 114, Golden State Warriors 134. Won. Odds: Denver Nuggets 1.36, Golden State Warriors 3.25.
- Oct 24: Phoenix Suns 131, Golden State Warriors 122. Lost. Odds: Phoenix Suns 1.23, Golden State Warriors 4.35.
- Oct 23: Golden State Warriors 108, Memphis Grizzlies 111. Lost. Odds: Golden State Warriors 1.59, Memphis Grizzlies 2.44.
- Oct 21: Los Angeles Lakers 127, Golden State Warriors 105. Lost. Odds: Los Angeles Lakers 1.43, Golden State Warriors 2.85.
- Oct 16: Golden State Warriors 128, Portland Trail Blazers 118. Won. Odds: Golden State Warriors 2.04, Portland Trail Blazers 1.69.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Net rating difference of 6.2 — Minnesota Timberwolves +10.2 per 100 possessions, Golden State Warriors +4.0.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Minnesota Timberwolves.
- 219.5 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 227.5.
- 9th vs 4th in the NBA standings.
- Different pace — Minnesota Timberwolves averaged 106.1 possessions per game, Golden State Warriors 100.8.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.45 | moved up 1.58 |
| GSW moneyline | 2.60 | moved down 2.46 |
| Total points | 226.5 | moved up 227.5 |
| MIN spread | −5.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 | Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Minnesota Timberwolves host Golden State Warriors in the NBA on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.