Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty Prediction & Odds

WNBA Friday, September 18, 2026Fri, Sep 18 Start19:30ET

Minnesota LynxHome · 33-11 · 1st · 1.41

8120172519

New York LibertyAway · 26-18 · 8th · 2.83

9319222428

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Minnesota Lynx 20 17 25 19

New York Liberty 19 22 24 28

FT Target Center · USATarget Center

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

NYL +6.5 1.91 69%

New York Liberty +6.5 on the spread edge +11.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won NYL +6.5 1.91 New York Liberty +6.5 on the spread Confidence69% model 60.7% · market 48.8% edge +11.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 65%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.41 54.4% 68.6% −14.2% 59% Lost

Total points O172.5 1.57 61.2% 60.8% +0.4% 66% Won

Point spread NYL +6.5 1.91 60.7% 48.8% +11.9% 69% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Minnesota Lynx8190

New York Liberty9388

Total 178 actual 174

Winning margin MIN by 2 actual NYL by 12

Chance to win MIN 55% NYL won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Minnesota Lynx8190

New York Liberty9388

Total 178 Margin MIN by 2 Win MIN 55% Actual 174 · NYL won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 17+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Minnesota Lynx large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction New York Liberty

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Minnesota Lynx vs New York Liberty

Minnesota Lynx New York Liberty

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Minnesota Lynx 3-2

Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 24: Minnesota Lynx 66, Golden State Valkyries 80. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 21: Washington Mystics 84, Minnesota Lynx 94. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 19: Golden State Valkyries 66, Minnesota Lynx 77. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 15: Las Vegas Aces 87, Minnesota Lynx 92. Won. No odds on record.

New York Liberty 3-2

Aug 29: New York Liberty 85, Chicago Sky 66. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 27: New York Liberty 60, Golden State Valkyries 79. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 22: New York Liberty 109, Indiana Fever 102. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 18: Chicago Sky 93, New York Liberty 86. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 15: Connecticut Sun 75, New York Liberty 82. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MIN moneyline	1.37	moved up 1.41
NYL moneyline	3.05	moved down 2.83
Total points	178.5	moved down 177.5
MIN spread	−6.5	−6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Atlanta Dream	44	30	14	.682	4019	3717	+302
5	Washington Mystics	44	28	16	.636	3696	3640	+56
6	Indiana Fever	44	28	16	.636	4222	3979	+243
7	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
8	New York Liberty	44	26	18	.591	3941	3802	+139
9	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
10	Chicago Sky	44	16	28	.364	3818	3989	−171
11	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
12	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
13	Connecticut Sun	44	11	33	.250	3470	3875	−405
14	Toronto Tempo	44	11	33	.250	3770	4152	−382
15	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Playoffs

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Minnesota Lynx host New York Liberty in the WNBA on Friday, September 18, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.