Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever Prediction & Odds — Sep 24

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WNBA Thursday, September 24, 2026Thu, Sep 24 Start20:00ET

Minnesota LynxHome · 33-11 · 1st · 2.55

8632301410

Indiana FeverAway · 28-16 · 6th · 1.50

661319925

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Minnesota Lynx 32 30 14 10

Indiana Fever 13 19 9 25

FT Target Center · USATarget Center

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

MIN +4.5 1.62 67%

Minnesota Lynx +4.5 on the spread edge −0.9%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won MIN +4.5 1.62 Minnesota Lynx +4.5 on the spread Confidence67% model 49.1% · market 50.0% edge −0.9%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.50 54.0% 53.2% +0.8% 58% Lost

Total points O183.5 1.90 52.8% 48.8% +4.0% 54% Lost

Point spread MIN +4.5 1.62 49.1% 50.0% −0.9% 67% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Minnesota Lynx8692

Indiana Fever6693

Total 185 actual 152

Winning margin IND by 1 actual MIN by 20

Chance to win IND 53% MIN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Minnesota Lynx8692

Indiana Fever6693

Total 185 Margin IND by 1 Win IND 53% Actual 152 · MIN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Minnesota Lynx large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Indiana Fever

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Minnesota Lynx vs Indiana Fever

Minnesota Lynx Indiana Fever

Last 30 games each with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Minnesota Lynx 1-4

Sep 22: Indiana Fever 96, Minnesota Lynx 77. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.65, Minnesota Lynx 2.20.
Sep 20: Connecticut Sun 89, Minnesota Lynx 101. Won. Odds: Connecticut Sun 7.98, Minnesota Lynx 1.06.
Sep 18: Minnesota Lynx 81, New York Liberty 93. Lost. Odds: Minnesota Lynx 1.41, New York Liberty 2.83.
Aug 30: Atlanta Dream 89, Minnesota Lynx 81. Lost. No odds on record.
Aug 24: Minnesota Lynx 66, Golden State Valkyries 80. Lost. No odds on record.

Indiana Fever 4-1

Sep 22: Indiana Fever 96, Minnesota Lynx 77. Won. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.65, Minnesota Lynx 2.20.
Sep 20: Indiana Fever 77, Washington Mystics 93. Lost. Odds: Indiana Fever 1.37, Washington Mystics 3.00.
Sep 18: Toronto Tempo 85, Indiana Fever 103. Won. Odds: Toronto Tempo 6.44, Indiana Fever 1.10.
Aug 28: Indiana Fever 111, Connecticut Sun 91. Won. No odds on record.
Aug 23: Chicago Sky 90, Indiana Fever 113. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MIN moneyline	1.98	moved up 2.55
IND moneyline	1.80	moved down 1.50
Total points	183.5	183.5
MIN spread	+2.5	moved up +4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

WNBA standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pct	PF	PA	+/−
1	Minnesota Lynx	44	33	11	.750	3997	3681	+316
2	Golden State Valkyries	44	32	12	.727	3615	3306	+309
3	Las Vegas Aces	44	31	13	.705	4025	3776	+249
4	Atlanta Dream	44	30	14	.682	4019	3717	+302
5	Washington Mystics	44	28	16	.636	3696	3640	+56
6	Indiana Fever	44	28	16	.636	4222	3979	+243
7	Dallas Wings	44	27	17	.614	3933	3751	+182
8	New York Liberty	44	26	18	.591	3941	3802	+139
9	Portland Fire	44	17	27	.386	3794	4005	−211
10	Chicago Sky	44	16	28	.364	3818	3989	−171
11	Los Angeles Sparks	44	16	28	.364	3830	4018	−188
12	Phoenix Mercury	44	16	28	.364	3712	3854	−142
13	Connecticut Sun	44	11	33	.250	3470	3875	−405
14	Toronto Tempo	44	11	33	.250	3770	4152	−382
15	Seattle Storm	44	8	36	.182	3616	3913	−297

Playoffs

Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Minnesota Lynx host Indiana Fever in the WNBA on Thursday, September 24, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.