Mineros vs Santos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 54%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 172 Margin MIN by 2 Win MIN 53% Actual 171 · MIN won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mineros vs Santos
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Mineros at home, last 15 games · Santos away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mineros 2, Santos 3.
- Average total 177.2 points per meeting
- Over 175.5 1 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting SAN by 11 Oct 7, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 7, 2026 LNBP Mineros 82–93 Santos 175 pts
- Jul 24, 2026 LNBP Santos 95–80 Mineros 175 pts
- Jul 23, 2026 LNBP Santos 87–86 Mineros 173 pts
- Oct 3, 2025 LNBP Mineros 109–86 Santos 195 pts
- Oct 2, 2025 LNBP Mineros 91–77 Santos 168 pts
Last five games
- Oct 2: Mineros 74, Abejas 81. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.42, Abejas 2.60.
- Oct 1: Mineros 90, Abejas 78. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Abejas 2.50.
- Sep 27: Lobos Plateados 81, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.62, Mineros 2.10.
- Sep 26: Lobos Plateados 91, Mineros 68. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 2.07, Mineros 1.67.
- Sep 21: Mineros 87, Gambusinos 85. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.30, Gambusinos 3.10.
- Oct 2: Santos 108, Freseros 87. Won. Odds: Santos 1.55, Freseros 2.25.
- Oct 1: Santos 96, Freseros 81. Won. Odds: Santos 1.57, Freseros 2.25.
- Sep 26: Abejas 92, Santos 78. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.36, Santos 2.80.
- Sep 25: Abejas 86, Santos 87. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.47, Santos 2.52.
- Sep 21: Santos 84, Lobos Plateados 99. Lost. Odds: Santos 2.18, Lobos Plateados 1.60.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Over/under moved up from 170.5 to 175.5 since it was first published.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Santos.
- +6.3 points at home — Mineros averaged 89.4 at home and 83.1 away this season.
- 177.2 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 175.5.
- 7th vs 11th in the LNBP standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.33 | moved up 1.36 |
| SAN moneyline | 3.05 | moved down 2.80 |
| Total points | 170.5 | moved up 175.5 |
| MIN spread | −6.5 | moved up −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mineros host Santos in the LNBP on Tuesday, October 6, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.