Mineros vs Gambusinos Prediction & Odds

LNBP Monday, September 21, 2026Mon, Sep 21 Start22:05ET Round 22

MinerosHome · 15-13 · 7th · 1.30

8721201729

GambusinosAway · 11-17 · 10th · 3.10

8524152521

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Mineros 21 20 17 29

Gambusinos 24 15 25 21

FT Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez · MexicoGimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez · Round 22

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

GAM +8.5 1.85 82%

Gambusinos +8.5 on the spread edge +14.5%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won GAM +8.5 1.85 Gambusinos +8.5 on the spread Confidence82% model 66.0% · market 51.5% edge +14.5%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.36 56.3% 75.7% −19.4% 63% Won

Total points U167.5 1.91 58.6% 50.3% +8.3% 59% Lost

Point spread GAM +8.5 1.85 66.0% 51.5% +14.5% 82% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros8783

Gambusinos8580

Total 163 actual 172

Winning margin MIN by 3 actual MIN by 2

Chance to win MIN 59% MIN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros8783

Gambusinos8580

Total 163 Margin MIN by 3 Win MIN 59% Actual 172 · MIN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 18+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Mineros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Gambusinos

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Mineros vs Gambusinos

Mineros Gambusinos

Last 29 and 27 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Mineros 2-3

Sep 20: Mineros 89, Gambusinos 96. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Sep 16: Fuerza Regia 87, Mineros 84. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.46, Mineros 2.50.
Sep 15: Fuerza Regia 100, Mineros 101. After overtime. Won. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.62, Mineros 2.14.
Sep 10: Mineros 98, Diablos Rojos 85. Won. No odds on record.
Sep 9: Mineros 75, Diablos Rojos 81. Lost. No odds on record.

Gambusinos 4-1

Sep 20: Mineros 89, Gambusinos 96. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Sep 16: Gambusinos 78, Santos 109. Lost. Odds: Gambusinos 1.93, Santos 1.78.
Sep 15: Gambusinos 89, Santos 77. Won. Odds: Gambusinos 1.65, Santos 2.10.
Sep 11: Abejas 74, Gambusinos 86. Won. No odds on record.
Sep 10: Abejas 83, Gambusinos 87. Won. No odds on record.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MIN moneyline	1.19	moved up 1.30
GAM moneyline	4.15	moved down 3.10
Total points	167.5	moved up 168.5
MIN spread · regulation	−9.5	moved up −6.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Mineros host Gambusinos in the LNBP on Monday, September 21, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.