Mineros vs Diablos Rojos prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 68%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 167 Margin MIN by 5 Win MIN 66% Actual 190 · DIA won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mineros vs Diablos Rojos
Last 29 and 28 games with full stats · all competitions
Mineros at home, last 15 games · Diablos Rojos away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mineros 3, Diablos Rojos 2.
- Average total 175.0 points per meeting
- Over 169.5 4 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 20 Oct 15, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 15, 2026 LNBP Diablos Rojos 78–98 Mineros 176 pts
- Oct 12, 2026 LNBP Mineros 97–86 Diablos Rojos 183 pts
- Sep 10, 2026 LNBP Mineros 98–85 Diablos Rojos 183 pts
- Sep 9, 2026 LNBP Mineros 75–81 Diablos Rojos 156 pts
- Aug 15, 2025 LNBP Mineros 85–92 Diablos Rojos 177 pts
Last five games
- Oct 7: Mineros 82, Santos 93. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.28, Santos 3.35.
- Oct 6: Mineros 96, Santos 75. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.36, Santos 2.80.
- Oct 2: Mineros 74, Abejas 81. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.42, Abejas 2.60.
- Oct 1: Mineros 90, Abejas 78. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Abejas 2.50.
- Sep 27: Lobos Plateados 81, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.62, Mineros 2.10.
- Oct 7: Panteras 93, Diablos Rojos 92. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Panteras 1.34, Diablos Rojos 3.00.
- Oct 6: Panteras 77, Diablos Rojos 76. Lost. Odds: Panteras 1.30, Diablos Rojos 3.10.
- Oct 2: Soles 86, Diablos Rojos 43. Lost. Odds: Soles 1.16, Diablos Rojos 4.65.
- Oct 1: Soles 84, Diablos Rojos 93. Won. Odds: Soles 1.24, Diablos Rojos 3.50.
- Sep 27: Diablos Rojos 67, Astros 86. Lost. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.10, Astros 1.62.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Diablos Rojos coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Diablos Rojos dropped from 3.25 to 2.50 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 6.0 — Mineros +0.9 per 100 possessions, Diablos Rojos −5.1.
- 3-2 in the last 5 meetings for Mineros.
- +6.3 points at home — Mineros averaged 89.4 at home and 83.1 away this season.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.30 | moved up 1.47 |
| DIA moneyline | 3.25 | moved down 2.50 |
| Total points | 168.5 | moved up 169.5 |
| MIN spread | −6.5 | moved up −4.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mineros host Diablos Rojos in the LNBP on Sunday, October 11, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.