Mineros vs Astros Prediction & Odds — Oct 22

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LNBP Thursday, October 22, 2026Thu, Oct 22 Start22:05ET Quarter-finals

MinerosHome · 15-13 · 7th · 2.18

7212242511

AstrosAway · 20-8 · 2nd · 1.53

8124291117

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Mineros 12 24 25 11

Astros 24 29 11 17

FT Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez · MexicoGimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez · Quarter-finals

Best tip of the game

Point spread Won

AST +5.5 1.28 85%

Astros +5.5 on the spread edge +3.3%

Best tip of the game Point spread · Won AST +5.5 1.28 Astros +5.5 on the spread Confidence85% model 74.6% · market 71.3% edge +3.3%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 2 1.53 61.3% 57.9% +3.4% 72% Won

Total points O163.5 1.42 71.0% 64.4% +6.6% 63% Lost

Point spread AST +5.5 1.28 74.6% 71.3% +3.3% 85% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros7285

Astros8189

Total 174 actual 153

Winning margin AST by 4 actual AST by 9

Chance to win AST 61% AST won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros7285

Astros8189

Total 174 Margin AST by 4 Win AST 61% Actual 153 · AST won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 20+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Mineros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Astros

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Mineros vs Astros

Mineros Astros

Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Mineros 2-3

Oct 19: Astros 86, Mineros 83. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.30, Mineros 2.85.
Oct 18: Astros 100, Mineros 78. Lost. Odds: Astros 1.22, Mineros 2.95.
Oct 15: Diablos Rojos 78, Mineros 98. Won. Odds: Diablos Rojos 2.00, Mineros 1.72.
Oct 12: Mineros 97, Diablos Rojos 86. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.34, Diablos Rojos 3.00.
Oct 11: Mineros 92, Diablos Rojos 98. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Diablos Rojos 2.50.

Astros 5-0

Oct 19: Astros 86, Mineros 83. Won. Odds: Astros 1.30, Mineros 2.85.
Oct 18: Astros 100, Mineros 78. Won. Odds: Astros 1.22, Mineros 2.95.
Oct 7: Astros 86, Gambusinos 71. Won. Odds: Astros 1.19, Gambusinos 4.15.
Oct 6: Astros 96, Gambusinos 89. Won. Odds: Astros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Oct 3: Astros 101, Fuerza Regia 87. Won. Odds: Astros 1.45, Fuerza Regia 2.57.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MIN moneyline	2.20	moved down 2.18
AST moneyline	1.62	moved down 1.53
Total points	169.5	moved up 171.5
MIN spread	+3.5	+3.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Mineros host Astros in the LNBP on Thursday, October 22, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.