Mineros vs Abejas prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 73%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 163 Margin MIN by 5 Win MIN 64% Actual 155 · ABE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Mineros vs Abejas
Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions
Mineros at home, last 15 games · Abejas away, last 16
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Mineros 3, Abejas 0.
- Average total 151.7 points per meeting
- Over 172.5 0 of 3 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 12 Oct 1, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 1, 2026 LNBP Mineros 90–78 Abejas 168 pts
- Sep 9, 2025 LNBP Mineros 69–64 Abejas 133 pts
- Sep 8, 2025 LNBP Mineros 91–63 Abejas 154 pts
Last five games
- Oct 1: Mineros 90, Abejas 78. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Abejas 2.50.
- Sep 27: Lobos Plateados 81, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.62, Mineros 2.10.
- Sep 26: Lobos Plateados 91, Mineros 68. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 2.07, Mineros 1.67.
- Sep 21: Mineros 87, Gambusinos 85. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.30, Gambusinos 3.10.
- Sep 20: Mineros 89, Gambusinos 96. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
- Oct 1: Mineros 90, Abejas 78. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.47, Abejas 2.50.
- Sep 26: Abejas 92, Santos 78. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.36, Santos 2.80.
- Sep 25: Abejas 86, Santos 87. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.47, Santos 2.52.
- Sep 21: Abejas 57, Freseros 63. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.42, Freseros 2.65.
- Sep 20: Abejas 97, Freseros 80. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.60, Freseros 2.20.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- Second game in two days for both teams — Mineros and Abejas played yesterday.
- 3-0 in the last 3 meetings for Mineros.
- Net rating difference of 11.2 — Mineros +0.9 per 100 possessions, Abejas −10.3.
- +6.3 points at home — Mineros averaged 89.4 at home and 83.1 away this season.
- 151.7 points per meeting across the last 3 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 172.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.42 | 1.42 |
| ABE moneyline | 2.67 | moved down 2.60 |
| Total points | 172.5 | 172.5 |
| MIN spread | −5.5 | −5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
LNBP standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pts | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 49 | 2382 | 2090 | +292 | |
| 2 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 48 | 2473 | 2246 | +227 | |
| 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2512 | 2381 | +131 | |
| 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 47 | 2477 | 2379 | +98 | |
| 5 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 46 | 2366 | 2251 | +115 | |
| 6 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 45 | 2409 | 2368 | +41 | |
| 7 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 43 | 2411 | 2371 | +40 | |
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 16 | 40 | 2389 | 2392 | −3 | |
| 9 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2293 | 2370 | −77 | |
| 10 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2233 | 2327 | −94 | |
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 2367 | 2497 | −130 | |
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2276 | 2384 | −108 | |
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 2379 | 2586 | −207 | |
| 14 | 28 | 4 | 24 | 32 | 2309 | 2634 | −325 |
- Playoffs: Quarter-finals
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Mineros host Abejas in the LNBP on Friday, October 2, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.