Mineros vs Abejas Prediction & Odds — Oct 1

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LNBP Thursday, October 1, 2026Thu, Oct 1 Start22:05ET

MinerosHome · 15-13 · 7th · 1.47

9031241718

AbejasAway · 12-16 · 8th · 2.50

7814183115

By quarter 1st 2nd 3rd 4th

Mineros 31 24 17 18

Abejas 14 18 31 15

FT Gimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez · MexicoGimnasio Marcelino Gonzalez

Best tip of the game

Moneyline Won

1 1.47 71%

Mineros to win edge −1.6%

Best tip of the game Moneyline · Won 1 1.47 Mineros to win Confidence71% model 63.7% · market 65.3% edge −1.6%

All predictions

3 picks graded · Average confidence 60%

Picks for this game

Market PickOdds Model Market Edge Confidence Result

Moneyline 1 1.47 63.7% 65.3% −1.6% 71% Won

Total points U172.5 1.85 62.0% 49.7% +12.3% 58% Won

Point spread MIN -5.5 1.91 50.2% 48.5% +1.7% 51% Won

Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros9086

Abejas7881

Total 167 actual 168

Winning margin MIN by 5 actual MIN by 12

Chance to win MIN 64% MIN won

Predicted final score

ActualPredicted

Mineros9086

Abejas7881

Total 167 Margin MIN by 5 Win MIN 64% Actual 168 · MIN won

Predicted team stats

Prediction From 19+ games with full stats per team · no bookmaker odds

Mineros large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction Abejas

Large = predicted · small = actual, above / below the prediction

Rebounds

Other

Shooting

Mineros vs Abejas

Mineros Abejas

Last 29 and 30 games with full stats · all competitions

Season record above, per-game averages below.

Last five games

Mineros 2-3

Sep 27: Lobos Plateados 81, Mineros 84. Won. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.62, Mineros 2.10.
Sep 26: Lobos Plateados 91, Mineros 68. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 2.07, Mineros 1.67.
Sep 21: Mineros 87, Gambusinos 85. Won. Odds: Mineros 1.30, Gambusinos 3.10.
Sep 20: Mineros 89, Gambusinos 96. Lost. Odds: Mineros 1.14, Gambusinos 4.90.
Sep 16: Fuerza Regia 87, Mineros 84. Lost. Odds: Fuerza Regia 1.46, Mineros 2.50.

Abejas 2-3

Sep 26: Abejas 92, Santos 78. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.36, Santos 2.80.
Sep 25: Abejas 86, Santos 87. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.47, Santos 2.52.
Sep 21: Abejas 57, Freseros 63. Lost. Odds: Abejas 1.42, Freseros 2.65.
Sep 20: Abejas 97, Freseros 80. Won. Odds: Abejas 1.60, Freseros 2.20.
Sep 16: Lobos Plateados 80, Abejas 67. Lost. Odds: Lobos Plateados 1.53, Abejas 2.32.

Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.

How the odds moved

Market	Open	Now
MIN moneyline	1.42	moved up 1.47
ABE moneyline	2.67	moved down 2.50
Total points	172.5	172.5
MIN spread · regulation	−5.5	moved up −4.5

Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.

LNBP standings

Regular Season

#	Team	GP	W	L	Pts	PF	PA	+/−
1	Soles	28	21	7	49	2382	2090	+292
2	Astros	28	20	8	48	2473	2246	+227
3	Fuerza Regia	28	19	9	47	2512	2381	+131
4	Panteras	28	19	9	47	2477	2379	+98
5	Lobos Plateados	28	18	10	46	2366	2251	+115
6	Dorados	28	17	11	45	2409	2368	+41
7	Mineros	28	15	13	43	2411	2371	+40
8	Abejas	28	12	16	40	2389	2392	−3
9	Diablos Rojos	28	11	17	39	2293	2370	−77
10	Gambusinos	28	11	17	39	2233	2327	−94
11	Santos	28	11	17	39	2367	2497	−130
12	El Calor de Cancun	28	9	19	37	2276	2384	−108
13	Freseros	28	9	19	37	2379	2586	−207
14	Correcaminos	28	4	24	32	2309	2634	−325

Playoffs: Quarter-finals
Playoffs: 1/8-finals

Pts standings points: 2 for a win, 1 for a loss — the table is sorted by them. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.

Mineros host Abejas in the LNBP on Thursday, October 1, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.