Minas vs Brasilia prediction
Minas
26
17
24
33
Brasilia
12
21
19
9
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 78%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Minas10086Brasilia6184Minas10086Brasilia6184Total 170 Margin MIN by 2 Win MIN 58% Actual 161 · MIN won
Minas
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Brasilia
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Minas vs Brasilia
Minas
Brasilia
Last 29 games each with full stats · all competitions
Minas at home, last 25 games · Brasilia away, last 26
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Minas 1, Brasilia 1.
- Average total 170.5 points per meeting
- Over 161.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 1 Feb 17, 2026
Meetings
- Feb 17, 2026 NBB Minas 92–91 Brasilia 183 pts
- Nov 10, 2025 NBB Brasilia 80–78 Minas 158 pts
Last five games
Minas
3-2 - Oct 27: Minas 86, Pato 65. Won. Odds: Minas 1.02, Pato 8.44.
- Oct 22: Uniao Corinthians 71, Minas 88. Won. Odds: Uniao Corinthians 2.70, Minas 1.42.
- Oct 20: Caxias do Sul 66, Minas 78. Won. Odds: Caxias do Sul 4.50, Minas 1.17.
- May 12: Minas 81, Corinthians Paulista 92. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 9: Corinthians Paulista 103, Minas 97. Lost. No odds on record.
Brasilia
4-1 - Oct 27: Cruzeiro 80, Brasilia 89. Won. Odds: Cruzeiro 3.00, Brasilia 1.36.
- Oct 24: Brasilia 91, Paulistano 73. Won. Odds: Brasilia 1.36, Paulistano 3.00.
- Oct 22: Brasilia 104, Corinthians Paulista 92. Won. Odds: Brasilia 1.38, Corinthians Paulista 2.80.
- May 28: Franca 68, Brasilia 66. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 26: Franca 69, Brasilia 71. Won. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game winning streak for Minas coming into this game.
- 3-game winning streak for Brasilia coming into this game.
- Odds moved: the odds on Minas dropped from 1.43 to 1.33 since they were first published.
- Net rating difference of 7.2 — Minas +10.3 per 100 possessions, Brasilia +3.1.
- 1st vs 2nd in the NBB standings.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIN moneyline | 1.43 | moved down 1.33 |
| BRA moneyline | 2.50 | moved up 3.10 |
| Total points | 161.5 | 161.5 |
| MIN spread | −4.5 | moved down −7.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBB standings
Regular Season
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minas |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 352 | 263 | +89 |
| 2 | Brasilia |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 345 | 345 | 0 |
| 3 |  Unifacisa |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 344 | 296 | +48 |
| 4 |  Mogi |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 315 | 294 | +21 |
| 5 |  Flamengo |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 322 | 277 | +45 |
| 6 |  Pinheiros |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 327 | 281 | +46 |
| 7 |  Paulistano |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 301 | 302 | −1 |
| 8 |  Franca |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 290 | 276 | +14 |
| 9 |  Cruzeiro |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 302 | 301 | +1 |
| 10 |  Bauru |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 301 | 311 | −10 |
| 11 |  Uniao Corinthians |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 369 | 400 | −31 |
| 12 |  Corinthians Paulista |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 243 | 236 | +7 |
| 13 |  Osasco |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 237 | 254 | −17 |
| 14 |  Pato |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 296 | 330 | −34 |
| 15 |  Botafogo |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 323 | 339 | −16 |
| 16 |  Caxias do Sul |
4 | 0 | 4 | .000 | 268 | 311 | −43 |
| 17 |  Cearense |
2 | 0 | 2 | .000 | 132 | 191 | −59 |
| 18 |  Sao Jose |
3 | 0 | 3 | .000 | 210 | 270 | −60 |
- Playoffs: 1/8-finals
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Minas host Brasilia in the NBB on Thursday, October 29, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.