Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction
Milwaukee Bucks
20
28
28
21
Minnesota Timberwolves
31
29
21
35
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 76%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Milwaukee Bucks97112Minnesota Timberwolves116111Milwaukee Bucks97112Minnesota Timberwolves116111Total 223 Margin MIL by 1 Win MIL 51% Actual 213 · MIN won
Milwaukee Bucks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Minnesota Timberwolves
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Other
Shooting
Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Milwaukee Bucks
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Milwaukee Bucks at home, last 4 games · Minnesota Timberwolves away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Milwaukee Bucks 0, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.
- Average total 224.0 points per meeting
- Over 230.5 1 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIN by 33 Jan 13, 2026
Meetings
- Jan 13, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 106–139 Minnesota Timberwolves 245 pts
- Dec 21, 2025 NBA Minnesota Timberwolves 103–100 Milwaukee Bucks 203 pts
Last five games
Milwaukee Bucks
2-3 - Apr 12: Philadelphia 76ers 126, Milwaukee Bucks 106. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 10: Milwaukee Bucks 125, Brooklyn Nets 108. Won. No odds on record.
- Apr 8: Detroit Pistons 137, Milwaukee Bucks 111. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 7: Brooklyn Nets 96, Milwaukee Bucks 90. Lost. No odds on record.
- Apr 5: Milwaukee Bucks 131, Memphis Grizzlies 115. Won. No odds on record.
Minnesota Timberwolves
1-4 - May 15: Minnesota Timberwolves 109, San Antonio Spurs 139. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 12: San Antonio Spurs 126, Minnesota Timberwolves 97. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 10: Minnesota Timberwolves 114, San Antonio Spurs 109. Won. No odds on record.
- May 8: Minnesota Timberwolves 108, San Antonio Spurs 115. Lost. No odds on record.
- May 6: San Antonio Spurs 133, Minnesota Timberwolves 95. Lost. No odds on record.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 at home for Milwaukee Bucks this season.
- Net rating difference of 22.3 — Milwaukee Bucks −12.1 per 100 possessions, Minnesota Timberwolves +10.2.
- 1-4 in the last five for Minnesota Timberwolves.
- Different pace — Milwaukee Bucks averaged 112.0 possessions per game, Minnesota Timberwolves 106.1.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIL moneyline | 2.55 | moved up 2.65 |
| MIN moneyline | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Total points | 231.5 | moved down 230.5 |
| MIL spread | +4.5 | moved up +5.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 |  Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 | Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 |  Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 |  Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 | Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Milwaukee Bucks host Minnesota Timberwolves in the NBA on Monday, October 5, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.