Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 74%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 229 Margin MIL by 3 Win MIL 58% Actual 212 · MIL won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Milwaukee Bucks at home, last 4 games · Indiana Pacers away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Milwaukee Bucks 5, Indiana Pacers 0.
- Average total 230.6 points per meeting
- Over 238.5 2 of 5 against this game’s total
- Last meeting MIL by 1 Oct 16, 2026
Meetings
- Oct 16, 2026 NBA Indiana Pacers 127–128 OT Milwaukee Bucks 255 pts · OT
- Mar 15, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 134–123 Indiana Pacers 257 pts
- Feb 6, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 105–99 Indiana Pacers 204 pts
- Dec 23, 2025 NBA Indiana Pacers 94–111 Milwaukee Bucks 205 pts
- Nov 3, 2025 NBA Indiana Pacers 115–117 Milwaukee Bucks 232 pts
Last five games
- Oct 24: Philadelphia 76ers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Philadelphia 76ers 1.14, Milwaukee Bucks 6.00.
- Oct 23: Milwaukee Bucks 125, Chicago Bulls 132. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 1.80, Chicago Bulls 2.05.
- Oct 21: Washington Wizards 128, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Washington Wizards 1.58, Milwaukee Bucks 2.46.
- Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
- Oct 14: Milwaukee Bucks 104, Chicago Bulls 125. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.48, Chicago Bulls 1.50.
- Oct 25: Brooklyn Nets 109, Indiana Pacers 136. Won. Odds: Brooklyn Nets 2.80, Indiana Pacers 1.45.
- Oct 23: Indiana Pacers 105, Dallas Mavericks 121. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.38, Dallas Mavericks 3.15.
- Oct 21: New Orleans Pelicans 120, Indiana Pacers 123. Won. Odds: New Orleans Pelicans 2.20, Indiana Pacers 1.57.
- Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
- Oct 13: Oklahoma City Thunder 114, Indiana Pacers 112. After overtime. Lost. Odds: Oklahoma City Thunder 1.40, Indiana Pacers 2.80.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 3-game losing streak for Milwaukee Bucks coming into this game.
- 1-4 at home for Milwaukee Bucks this season.
- 5-0 in the last 5 meetings for Milwaukee Bucks.
- Net rating difference of 7.7 — Milwaukee Bucks −12.1 per 100 possessions, Indiana Pacers −4.4.
- 230.6 points per meeting across the last 5 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 238.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIL moneyline | 2.15 | moved up 2.40 |
| IND moneyline | 1.73 | moved down 1.61 |
| Total points | 238.5 | 238.5 |
| MIL spread | +4.5 | moved down +3.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Milwaukee Bucks host Indiana Pacers in the NBA on Monday, October 26, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.