Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets prediction
Milwaukee Bucks
21
14
34
31
Houston Rockets
23
34
38
37
All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Milwaukee Bucks100109Houston Rockets132117Milwaukee Bucks100109Houston Rockets132117Total 226 Margin HOU by 8 Win HOU 69% Actual 232 · HOU won
Milwaukee Bucks
large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction Houston Rockets
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
Rebounds
Other
Shooting
Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets
Milwaukee Bucks
Houston Rockets
Last 6 and 7 games with full stats · all competitions
Milwaukee Bucks at home, last 4 games · Houston Rockets away, last 4
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Milwaukee Bucks 0, Houston Rockets 2.
- Average total 234.5 points per meeting
- Over 226.5 2 of 2 against this game’s total
- Last meeting HOU by 6 Apr 1, 2026
Meetings
- Apr 1, 2026 NBA Houston Rockets 119–113 Milwaukee Bucks 232 pts
- Nov 9, 2025 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 115–122 Houston Rockets 237 pts
Last five games
Milwaukee Bucks
2-3 - Oct 26: Milwaukee Bucks 110, Indiana Pacers 102. Won. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.40, Indiana Pacers 1.61.
- Oct 24: Philadelphia 76ers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Philadelphia 76ers 1.14, Milwaukee Bucks 6.00.
- Oct 23: Milwaukee Bucks 125, Chicago Bulls 132. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 1.80, Chicago Bulls 2.05.
- Oct 21: Washington Wizards 128, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Washington Wizards 1.58, Milwaukee Bucks 2.46.
- Oct 16: Indiana Pacers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 128. After overtime. Won. Odds: Indiana Pacers 1.26, Milwaukee Bucks 3.05.
Houston Rockets
5-0 - Oct 26: Houston Rockets 120, Atlanta Hawks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.52, Atlanta Hawks 2.62.
- Oct 24: Atlanta Hawks 114, Houston Rockets 121. Won. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.90, Houston Rockets 1.92.
- Oct 23: San Antonio Spurs 110, Houston Rockets 114. Won. Odds: San Antonio Spurs 1.52, Houston Rockets 2.62.
- Oct 21: Houston Rockets 128, Dallas Mavericks 110. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 1.23, Dallas Mavericks 4.40.
- Oct 15: Houston Rockets 116, Oklahoma City Thunder 89. Won. Odds: Houston Rockets 2.11, Oklahoma City Thunder 1.68.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 5-game winning streak for Houston Rockets coming into this game.
- 1-4 at home for Milwaukee Bucks this season.
- Net rating difference of 23.8 — Milwaukee Bucks −12.1 per 100 possessions, Houston Rockets +11.7.
- Different pace — Milwaukee Bucks averaged 112.0 possessions per game, Houston Rockets 101.0.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIL moneyline | 3.00 | moved up 3.75 |
| HOU moneyline | 1.36 | moved down 1.29 |
| Total points | 226.5 | 226.5 |
| MIL spread | +7.5 | moved up +8.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston Celtics |
4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 |
| 2 |  Atlanta Hawks |
5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 |
| 3 |  Brooklyn Nets |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 |
| 4 |  Orlando Magic |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 |
| 5 |  Detroit Pistons |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 |
| 6 |  Chicago Bulls |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 |
| 7 |  Miami Heat |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 |
| 8 |  Washington Wizards |
4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 |
| 9 |  Toronto Raptors |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 |
| 10 | Milwaukee Bucks |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 |
| 11 |  Cleveland Cavaliers |
3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 |
| 12 |  Indiana Pacers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 |
| 13 |  Philadelphia 76ers |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 |
| 14 |  Charlotte Hornets |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 |
| 15 |  New York Knicks |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pre-season · Western Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Memphis Grizzlies |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 470 | 443 | +27 |
| 2 |  Utah Jazz |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 453 | 439 | +14 |
| 3 |  New Orleans Pelicans |
4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 442 | 441 | +1 |
| 4 |  Golden State Warriors |
6 | 4 | 2 | .667 | 683 | 638 | +45 |
| 5 | Houston Rockets |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 366 | 338 | +28 |
| 6 |  Portland Trail Blazers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 351 | 344 | +7 |
| 7 |  Los Angeles Clippers |
3 | 2 | 1 | .667 | 332 | 325 | +7 |
| 8 |  Denver Nuggets |
5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 578 | 571 | +7 |
| 9 |  Minnesota Timberwolves |
6 | 3 | 3 | .500 | 697 | 709 | −12 |
| 10 |  San Antonio Spurs |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 572 | 544 | +28 |
| 11 |  Los Angeles Lakers |
5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 534 | 559 | −25 |
| 12 |  Dallas Mavericks |
4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 457 | 486 | −29 |
| 13 |  Phoenix Suns |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 545 | 573 | −28 |
| 14 |  Oklahoma City Thunder |
5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 549 | 585 | −36 |
| 15 |  Sacramento Kings |
5 | 0 | 5 | .000 | 514 | 588 | −74 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Milwaukee Bucks host Houston Rockets in the NBA on Wednesday, October 28, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.