Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction


All predictions
3 picks graded · Average confidence 84%Model is the model’s estimated win chance for the pick, Market the win chance the odds gave it when the pick was published, and Edge the difference between the two.
The score the model expects. An estimate, not a bet we publish.
Total 240 Margin CLE by 6 Win CLE 65% Actual 247 · CLE won
Large = predicted · small = actual, ▲above / ▼below the prediction
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Shooting
Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Last 6 games each with full stats · all competitions
Season record above, per-game averages below.
Head-to-head
Head-to-head record: Milwaukee Bucks 1, Cleveland Cavaliers 3.
- Average total 232.0 points per meeting
- Over 235.5 1 of 4 against this game’s total
- Last meeting CLE by 7 Mar 17, 2026
Meetings
- Mar 17, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 116–123 Cleveland Cavaliers 239 pts
- Feb 25, 2026 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 118–116 Cleveland Cavaliers 234 pts
- Nov 17, 2025 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 118–106 Milwaukee Bucks 224 pts
- Oct 26, 2025 NBA Cleveland Cavaliers 118–113 Milwaukee Bucks 231 pts
Last five games
- Oct 28: Milwaukee Bucks 100, Houston Rockets 132. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 3.75, Houston Rockets 1.29.
- Oct 26: Milwaukee Bucks 110, Indiana Pacers 102. Won. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 2.40, Indiana Pacers 1.61.
- Oct 24: Philadelphia 76ers 127, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Philadelphia 76ers 1.14, Milwaukee Bucks 6.00.
- Oct 23: Milwaukee Bucks 125, Chicago Bulls 132. Lost. Odds: Milwaukee Bucks 1.80, Chicago Bulls 2.05.
- Oct 21: Washington Wizards 128, Milwaukee Bucks 116. Lost. Odds: Washington Wizards 1.58, Milwaukee Bucks 2.46.
- Oct 29: Atlanta Hawks 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 111. Lost. Odds: Atlanta Hawks 1.85, Cleveland Cavaliers 1.99.
- Oct 28: Cleveland Cavaliers 121, Washington Wizards 111. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.26, Washington Wizards 4.10.
- Oct 26: Cleveland Cavaliers 127, Minnesota Timberwolves 125. After overtime. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.65, Minnesota Timberwolves 2.28.
- Oct 24: Cleveland Cavaliers 125, Brooklyn Nets 121. Won. Odds: Cleveland Cavaliers 1.20, Brooklyn Nets 4.75.
- Oct 22: Philadelphia 76ers 114, Cleveland Cavaliers 106. Lost. Odds: Philadelphia 76ers 1.72, Cleveland Cavaliers 2.18.
Results before this game, all competitions: the home side on top, the team in bold, the moneyline odds each side had; the winner’s are highlighted.
Key insights
- 1-4 at home for Milwaukee Bucks this season.
- Net rating difference of 17.5 — Milwaukee Bucks −12.1 per 100 possessions, Cleveland Cavaliers +5.4.
- 3-1 in the last 4 meetings for Cleveland Cavaliers.
- 1-4 in the last five for Milwaukee Bucks.
- 232.0 points per meeting across the last 4 head-to-head games; the over/under line is 235.5.
How the odds moved
| Market | Open | Now |
|---|---|---|
| MIL moneyline | 4.00 | moved down 3.90 |
| CLE moneyline | 1.25 | moved up 1.27 |
| Total points | 236.5 | moved down 235.5 |
| MIL spread | +9.5 | +9.5 |
Opening and current odds from the bookmakers we track; the spread is shown from the home team’s side. The arrow shows which way the odds moved.
NBA standings
Pre-season · Eastern Conference
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Pct | PF | PA | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 507 | 432 | +75 | |
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | .800 | 613 | 586 | +27 | |
| 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 497 | 464 | +33 | |
| 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 495 | 468 | +27 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | .750 | 474 | 452 | +22 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 610 | 574 | +36 | |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | .600 | 640 | 612 | +28 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | .500 | 453 | 455 | −2 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 612 | 584 | +28 | |
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | .400 | 547 | 599 | −52 | |
| 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | .333 | 348 | 361 | −13 | |
| 12 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 479 | 473 | +6 | |
| 13 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 454 | 480 | −26 | |
| 14 | 4 | 1 | 3 | .250 | 386 | 444 | −58 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 4 | .200 | 530 | 621 | −91 |
Pct percentage of games won — the table is sorted by it. W / L wins and losses, GP games played. PF / PA points scored and allowed this season. +/− points scored minus points allowed.
Milwaukee Bucks host Cleveland Cavaliers in the NBA on Saturday, October 31, 2026. Who wins, by how many points, and how many points in total — our moneyline, spread and over/under picks come from one model, and every pick is marked won or lost for everyone to see. The model uses predicted pace and scoring, recent form, the standings and the bookmakers’ current odds.